Match Info

PORTUGAL: Proliga - Losers stage - Round 1

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Pavilhao Comendador Serafim Marques (São Paio de Gramaços)


	Sampaense		Barreirense

	1	2
	1.48	2.4
	1.52	2.27
			Watch
	1.52	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.52)	2.3 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaense
60.4%

Barreirense
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.5%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Barreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barreirense than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Sampaense - Barreirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Brito A.	13. Caetano F.
5. Lewis J.	7. Costa P.
11. Mitchell D.	73. Downs M.
20. Runge D.	5. Oliveira R.
10. Saiote G.	9. Silva T.
Substitutes
17. Almeida B.	28. Cabrita T.
15. Almeida J.	1. Fonseca K.
12. Bento F. (C)	32. Margarido D.
8. Goncalves D.	3. Oliveira W.
0. Silva G.	11. Paixao G.
1. Tome E.	15. Raimundo T. (C)
51. Tykhonov D.	8. Santos P.
Coaches
. Figueiredo C.	. Caetano C.

Preview

Recent matches Sampaense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barreirense is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sampaense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sampaense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 331:327 (average 82.8:81.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Sampaense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 180:181 (average 90:90.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaense Basket
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
11.01.25	Sampaense - Maia	97:84 ✺
04.01.25	Illiabum - Sampaense	87:75 ✺
28.12.24	Clube Galitos - Sampaense	83:86 ✺
21.12.24	Sampaense - Alianca Sangalhos	95:105 OT ✺
14.12.24	Vasco Da Gama Porto - Sampaense	83:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLL
- Barreirense Basket
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
12.01.25	CB Queluz - Barreirense	98:74 ✺
05.01.25	Barreirense - Lusitânia	65:74 ✺
28.12.24	Portimonense - Barreirense	86:73 ✺
21.12.24	Barreirense - Santo André	85:67 ✺
15.12.24	Benfica B - Barreirense	63:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
17.03.24	Barreirense - Sampaense	56:64
17.02.24	Sampaense - Barreirense	64:70
26.03.23	Barreirense - Sampaense	90:87
25.02.23	Sampaense - Barreirense	116:111

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