What is the expert prediction for Belgium vs France?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Belgium vs France. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Belgium vs France Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, August 28, 2025)

Match Info

EuroBasket - Round 1

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Spodek (Katowice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	Sporza, Sporza, VOOsport World 2, VRT Canvas
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Croatia	SportKlub 3
Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	Ruutu+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia
Poland	TVP Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2, SportKlub 3
Slovakia	STVR Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
World	Court Side 1891


	Belgium		France

	1	2
	17	1.02	Watch
	12.5	1.03	Watch
	14.5	1.03	Watch
	17.34	1.03
			Watch
	11	1.03
	9.3	1.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.61 ↑ (11.52)	1.03 ↓ (1.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-20)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belgium
7%

France
93%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

8.3%

91.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belgium has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

France has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Belgium will win (votes: 14 - 70%). France will win (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Belgium: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 81.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +18, OT - Belgium (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 156.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 157, OT - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +14.5, OT - France (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Belgium will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Belgium (votes: 7 - 70%). France (votes: 3 - 30%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 68:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Bako I. Unics Kazan	8. Cordinier I. Virtus Bologna
4. Lecomte E. Start Lublin	99. Coulibaly B. Washington Wizards
8. Mwema J. Alicante	14. Jaiteh M. AS Monaco
11. Schwartz L. Saint Quentin	11. Maledon T. Lyon-Villeurbanne
10. Vanwijn H. Merkezefendi	7. Yabusele G. Philadelphia 76ers
Substitutes
44. Guisse M. Limoges	00. Francisco S. Zalgiris Kaunas
29. Ledegen S. Okapi Aalst	2. Hifi N. Paris
36. Mennes J. Oostende	34. Hoard J. Maccabi Tel Aviv
41. Tshimanga G. Circus Brussels	3. Luwawu-Cabarrot T. Saski Baskonia
16. Tumba K. Antwerp Giants	0. Okobo E. AS Monaco
34. Van den Eynde N. Okapi Aalst	21. Risacher Z. Atlanta Hawks
24. Van Vliet A. Gravelines-Dunkerque	44. Sarr A. Washington Wizards
Coaches
. Gjergja D.	. Fauthoux F.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belgium won 0.

France is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

France may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, France is the obvious favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Belgium won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 433:544. (average 61.9:77.7).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belgium basketball
Friendly International Basketball
17.08.25	Belgium - Bosnia and Herzegovina	60:73 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
15.08.25	Belgium - Great Britain	84:72 ✺
Friendly International Basketball
11.08.25	Finland - Belgium	92:74 ✺
06.08.25	Greece - Belgium	74:60 ✺
EuroBasket
23.02.25	Spain - Belgium	59:52 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWLLL
- France basketball
Friendly International Basketball
24.08.25	Greece - France	77:92 ✺
16.08.25	France - Spain	78:73 ✺
14.08.25	Spain - France	67:75 ✺
08.08.25	France - Great Britain	74:67 ✺
04.08.25	France - Montenegro	81:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Basketball
18.08.22	France - Belgium	90:71
World Championship Basketball
25.02.18	France - Belgium	64:49
24.11.17	Belgium - France	59:70
Friendly International Basketball
18.08.17	France - Belgium	85:60
22.08.15	France - Belgium	74:72
30.07.14	France - Belgium	79:57
EuroBasket
09.09.13	Belgium - France	65:82