Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - First round - Round 2

Date: 1 December 2025, Monday

Location: Espoo Metro Areena (Espoo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	YLE TV2


	Finland		France

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.32	1.62	Watch
	2.27	1.57
	2.88	1.34	Watch
	2.1	1.62
	2.25	1.61	Watch
	2.2	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (3.7)	1.56 ↑ (1.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Finland
40.2%

France
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

74.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Finland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Finland's performance.

France has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and France might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Finland - France Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 157.5, OT - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +4.5, OT - Finland (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Half - France (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - France (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 159 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.5, OT - France (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 77.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.5 - France (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - France (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5, 1st Half - France (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB, 1st Half - France (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: France will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): France will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Finland (votes: 3 - 17.6%). France (votes: 14 - 82.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:82

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Blomgren P. Syntainics MBC	95. Bouteille A. Buducnost
18. Jantunen M. Fenerbahce	97. Gaudoux L. Chalon/Saone
13. Nkamhoua O. Varese	45. Labeyrie L. Gran Canaria
9. Salin S. Estudiantes	5. Mokoka A. JL Bourg
19. Valtonen E. Fundacion Granada	85. Strazel M. AS Monaco
Substitutes
25. Amzil M. Trepca	6. Albicy A. Gran Canaria
30. Gustavson A. Karhu Basket	55. Ayayi G. Cholet
14. Kantonen H. Joensuun Kataja	15. Lang N. Limoges
20. Madsen A. AS Karditsas	13. Massa B. Lyon-Villeurbanne
21. Maxhuni E. Gravelines-Dunkerque	35. Pons Y. MoraBanc Andorra
24. Muurinen M. Partizan Mozzart Bet	44. Sene B. Nanterre
35. Seppala I. Kecskemeti TE	33. Tillie K. Unicaja
Coaches
. Tuovi L.	. Fauthoux F.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Finland won 3.

France could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Finland won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 554:575. (average 79.1:82.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Finland basketball
World Championship Basketball
28.11.25	Hungary - Finland	89:82 ✺
EuroBasket
14.09.25	Greece - Finland	92:89 ✺
12.09.25	Germany - Finland	98:86 ✺
10.09.25	Finland - Georgia	93:79 ✺
06.09.25	Serbia - Finland	86:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LLLWW
- France basketball
World Championship Basketball
28.11.25	France - Belgium	79:63 ✺
EuroBasket
07.09.25	France - Georgia	70:80 ✺
04.09.25	France - Iceland	114:74 ✺
02.09.25	France - Poland	83:76 ✺
31.08.25	Israel - France	82:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Basketball
21.02.19	Finland - France	76:69
16.09.18	France - Finland	83:67
EuroBasket
31.08.17	France - Finland	84:86 OT (72:72)
05.09.15	France - Finland	97:87 OT (81:81)
Friendly International Basketball
01.08.15	Finland - France	76:67
23.08.14	France - Finland	74:69
02.08.13	France - Finland	101:93

Finland - France: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide