Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 1

Date: 8 November 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Voyo
Portugal	Sport TV


	Benfica		Hapoel Jerusalem

	1	2
	2.65	1.43	Watch
	2.45	1.48
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.71	1.49
	2.72	1.49
	2.5	1.5
	2.7	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (1.82)	1.47 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
35.8%

Hapoel Jerusalem
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benfica's form might have worsened.

Hapoel Jerusalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hapoel Jerusalem's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benfica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Jerusalem than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hapoel Jerusalem, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Benfica - Hapoel Jerusalem Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Hapoel Jerusalem will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:83

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Preview

Recent matches Benfica is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hapoel Jerusalem is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Benfica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Hapoel Jerusalem will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Benfica Basketball
Portuguese LPB
04.11.23	Galomar - Benfica	70:78 ✺
Champions League Basketball
01.11.23	Benfica - PAOK	94:72 ✺
Portuguese LPB
28.10.23	Benfica - Imortal	103:58 ✺
21.10.23	Porto - Benfica	79:62 ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
13.10.23	Benfica - Oliveirense	71:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWWLL
- BC Hapoel Jerusalem
Champions League Basketball
01.11.23	Hapoel Jerusalem - Galatasaray	99:96 OT ✺
Israeli League Cup
01.10.23	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Jerusalem	71:79 ✺
27.09.23	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Holon	97:75 ✺
23.09.23	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Beer Sheva	78:62 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
19.09.23	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Hapoel Jerusalem	89:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWL

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