Match Info

FIBA Europe Cup - Play Offs - Final

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Bilbao Arena (Bilbao)

Referee: Vulic M. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	ERT 2


	Bilbao Basket		PAOK

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.8
	1.37	2.9	Watch
	1.31	3.38
	1.36	3.02	Watch
	1.33	3
	1.51	2.5
	1.38	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.4)	2.93 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bilbao Basket
68.1%

PAOK
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bilbao Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bilbao Basket's performance.

PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and PAOK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bilbao Basket than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Bilbao Basket - PAOK Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bilbao (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Bilbao Basket will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Frey H.	21. Beverley P.
11. Hilliard D.	2. Melvin C.
32. Hlinason T. (C)	26. Moore B.
2. Normantas M.	18. Persidis N.
18. Petrasek L.	5. Tyree B.
Substitutes
13. Bagayoko B.	0. Allen T.
4. De Castro K.	33. Dimsa T.
22. Font A.	25. Fillios G.
7. Jaworski J.	20. Iatridis K.
10. Krampelj M.	6. Koniaris A.
19. Pantzar M. J.	11. Omoruyi C.
20. Sylla A.	13. Zaras T. (C)
Coaches
. Ponsarnau J.	. Boutskos P.

Preview

First leg result: 73-79. Second leg.

In recent matches, Bilbao has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

PAOK is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bilbao may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bilbao is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bilbao won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 410:388. (average 82:77.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Bilbao won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 167:138. (average 83.5:69).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bilbao Basket
FIBA Europe Cup
22.04.26	PAOK - Bilbao Basket	79:73 ✺
Spanish ACB League
18.04.26	Bilbao Basket - Basquet Manresa	80:84 ✺
12.04.26	Barcelona - Bilbao Basket	90:61 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
08.04.26	Bilbao Basket - Falco Szombathely	95:88 ✺
Spanish ACB League
04.04.26	Bilbao Basket - Unicaja Malaga	90:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWW
- PAOK Thessaloniki BC
Greek Basket League A1
25.04.26	PAOK - Maroussi Athens	101:85 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
22.04.26	PAOK - Bilbao Basket	79:73 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
18.04.26	Iraklis - PAOK	72:76 ✺
15.04.26	PAOK - Aris	88:77 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
08.04.26	UCAM Murcia - PAOK	89:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

FIBA Europe Cup
22.04.26	PAOK - Bilbao Basket	79:73
11.02.26	PAOK - Bilbao Basket	87:88
13.01.26	Bilbao Basket - PAOK	95:73
23.04.25	PAOK - Bilbao Basket	84:82
16.04.25	Bilbao Basket - PAOK	72:65

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