Match Info

EUROPE: FIBA Europe Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 March 2025, Wednesday

Location: Bilbao Arena (Bilbao)


	Bilbao Basket		Tofaş

	1	2
			Watch
	1.42	2.6
	1.34	2.98	Watch
	1.38	3.02
	1.36	3.02	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.36	2.95	Watch
	1.34	2.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.54)	2.9 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bilbao Basket
67.9%

Tofaş
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bilbao Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bilbao Basket's performance.

Tofaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tofaş might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bilbao Basket than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bilbao Basket that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tofaş than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tofaş could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Bilbao Basket - Tofaş Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bilbao will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Abdur-Rahkman M.	8. Gecim T.
11. De Ridder T.	18. Pasecniks A.
30. Dragic Z.	2. Perez-Kaufmann A.
3. Frey H.	0. Reed M.
32. Hlinason T.	3. Saybir Y.
Substitutes
13. Bagayoko B.	30. Bankston K.
7. Cazalon M.	1. Cengiz O.
9. Dominguez R.	11. Demir B.
17. Jones M.	17. Gauzin M.
19. Pantzar M. J.	22. O'Brien J.
22. Rabaseda X.	77. Taskin A.
43. Sylla A.	6. Trifunovic U.
Coaches
. Ponsarnau J.	. Ene O.

Preview

1st leg.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Tofaş could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bilbao Basket will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bilbao Basket
Spanish ACB League
02.03.25	Bilbao Basket - Girona	96:83 ✺
08.02.25	Basquet Manresa - Bilbao Basket	89:74 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
04.02.25	Le Portel - Bilbao Basket	74:78 ✺
Spanish ACB League
02.02.25	Bilbao Basket - Força Lleida CE	91:75 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
29.01.25	Cholet Basket - Bilbao Basket	82:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWWL
- Tofas S.K.
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
28.02.25	Tofaş - Yalovaspor	105:90 ✺
Turkish Cup Basketball
12.02.25	Mersin SK - Tofaş	101:95 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
09.02.25	Büyükçekmece - Tofaş	88:83 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
05.02.25	Basket Zaragoza - Tofaş	79:80 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
01.02.25	Tofaş - Galatasaray	88:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLWW

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