Match Info

EUROPE: FIBA Europe Cup - Second stage - Round 5

Date: 29 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: La Meilleraie (Cholet)

Referee: Vitkauskas G. (Ltu)


	Cholet Basket		Bilbao Basket

	1	2
			Watch
	1.59	2.18
	1.52	2.32	Watch
	1.56	2.44
	1.59	2.29	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.58	2.32
	1.52	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.76)	2.28 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cholet Basket
59.1%

Bilbao Basket
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cholet Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cholet Basket's performance.

Bilbao Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bilbao Basket might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cholet Basket than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cholet Basket that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bilbao Basket than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bilbao Basket could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Cholet Basket - Bilbao Basket Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cholet will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Bilbao will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Ayayi G.	5. Abdur-Rahkman M.
44. Campbell T. (C)	11. De Ridder T.
12. Diawara M.	3. Frey H.
2. Melvin C.	32. Hlinason T.
32. Vautier B.	24. Silverio O.
Substitutes
22. Bracq S.	13. Bagayoko B.
15. Briggs J.	9. Dominguez R.
77. Dallo B.	17. Jones M.
8. McNeace J.	77. Kullamae K.
3. Smith S.	19. Pantzar M. J.
0. Wheeler A.	22. Rabaseda X. (C)
	43. Sylla A.
Coaches
. Lefrancois F.	. Ponsarnau J.

Preview

Cholet is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Bilbao Basket is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cholet could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Cholet to win the game is with odds 1.69.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cholet won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 88:95 (average 44:47.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Cholet won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cholet Basket
French LNB
26.01.25	Paris - Cholet Basket	90:77 ✺
18.01.25	Cholet Basket - Limoges	96:86 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
15.01.25	Le Portel - Cholet Basket	60:92 ✺
French LNB
11.01.25	Nancy - Cholet Basket	71:78 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
07.01.25	Cholet Basket - Dinamo Sassari	82:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWWW
- Bilbao Basket
Spanish ACB League
25.01.25	CB Breogán - Bilbao Basket	76:71 ✺
19.01.25	Barcelona - Bilbao Basket	97:84 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
15.01.25	Bilbao Basket - Dinamo Sassari	77:60 ✺
Spanish ACB League
11.01.25	Bilbao Basket - Unicaja Malaga	81:86 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
08.01.25	Bilbao Basket - Le Portel	74:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

FIBA Europe Cup
10.12.24	Bilbao Basket - Cholet Basket	95:88
Champions League Basketball
05.01.21	Cholet Basket - Bilbao Basket	Canceled

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