Match Info

Champions League Americas - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Obras Sanitarias (Buenos Aires)


	Boca Juniors		Flamengo

	1	2
	1.56	2.3	Watch
	1.53	2.25	Watch
	1.46	2.57
	1.45	2.51	Watch
	1.39	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.55)	2.45 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
62.4%

Flamengo
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boca Juniors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flamengo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Boca Juniors - Flamengo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:80

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Barreiro A.	9. Baralle F. A.
22. Caffaro F.	2. Cummings M.
6. Scala S.	1. Deodato
8. Smith M.	22. Johnson S.
17. Vega S.	21. Wesley
Substitutes
44. Cuello M.	18. Doria L.
1. De Shone H.	7. Dos Santos J.
3. Faggiano L.	13. Emanuel Fernades
99. Giorgetti Franco .	92. Gueiros M.
5. Guerrero J. M.	23. Kayo Manfio
0. Langston W.	8. Lugarini B.
4. Stenta N.	44. Negrete A.
Coaches
. Casalanguida N.	. Hernandez S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 1.

Boca Juniors is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Flamengo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Flamengo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Boca Juniors might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 713:769. (average 71.3:76.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 308:291. (average 77:72.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors Basketball
Argentinian LNB
13.04.26	Boca Juniors - Independiente de Oliva	92:86 ✺
11.04.26	Boca Juniors - Ferro Carril Oeste	81:90 ✺
06.04.26	Boca Juniors - Unión Santa Fe	74:68 ✺
04.04.26	San Lorenzo de Almagro - Boca Juniors	77:83 ✺
27.03.26	La Unión Formosa - Boca Juniors	83:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWW
- Flamengo Basketball
Brazilian NBB
14.04.26	Flamengo - Vasco da Gama	95:75 ✺
11.04.26	Botafogo - Flamengo	89:102 ✺
08.04.26	Flamengo - Cruzeiro	90:84 ✺
06.04.26	Flamengo - Minas	86:93 ✺
02.04.26	Caxias do Sul - Flamengo	76:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Americas Basketball
19.04.25	Flamengo - Boca Juniors	83:57
09.02.25	Boca Juniors - Flamengo	96:71
13.01.25	Flamengo - Boca Juniors	96:61
15.12.24	Flamengo - Boca Juniors	70:69
10.02.24	Boca Juniors - Flamengo	79:87
18.01.24	Boca Juniors - Flamengo	62:65
15.12.23	Flamengo - Boca Juniors	62:80

Upcoming Matches