Match Info

Liga A

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Luis Conde (Buenos Aires)


	Boca Juniors		Peñarol de Mar del Plata

	1	2
	1.26	3.65
	1.19	4
	1.22	4.1
	1.25	4.19
	1.25	3.55	Watch
	1.23	3.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↑ (1.21)	3.87 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
75.8%

Peñarol de Mar del Plata
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.4%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Peñarol de Mar del Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Boca Juniors - Peñarol de Mar del Plata Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:74

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Barreiro A.	3. Basualdo I.
22. Caffaro F.	73. Carreras X.
6. Scala S.	4. Guerra L.
8. Smith M.	18. Perez A.
17. Vega S.	1. Thornton A.
Substitutes
44. Cuello M.	35. Acuna R.
12. Donzino O.	19. Aman G.
3. Faggiano L.	22. Armand S.
99. Giorgetti Franco .	15. Chiaraviglio N.
0. Langston W.	13. Cordoba G.
4. Stenta N.	2. Tolosa F.
9. Torriani M.	9. Vazquez F.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 4.

Boca Juniors is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Peñarol's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Boca Juniors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Boca Juniors has had a series of home games.

In this match, Boca Juniors is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1666:1580. (average 83.3:79).

Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 830:790. (average 83:79).

Outrights of Argentinian LNB for now

Boca Juniors: 18.34% Penarol: 2.81%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
2	Boca Juniors	1	1	0	96:73	1.000
6	Penarol	1	1	0	62:57	1.000

Last Results with these Odds

Boca Juniors - the odds 1.21 are the expected chance of winning is 74.42%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors Basketball
Champions League Americas Basketball
12.03.26	Boca Juniors - Instituto Córdoba	75:68 ✺
09.03.26	Instituto Córdoba - Boca Juniors	74:90 ✺
Argentinian Super Cup Basketball
05.03.26	Boca Juniors - Instituto Córdoba	81:86 ✺
Argentinian LNB
22.02.26	Boca Juniors - Atlético Platense	93:91 OT ✺
19.02.26	Boca Juniors - Instituto Córdoba	70:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWW
- Peñarol de Mar del Plata
Argentinian LNB
14.03.26	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - San Lorenzo de Almagro	71:79 ✺
12.03.26	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Racing de Chivilcoy	92:64 ✺
07.03.26	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Atlético Platense	79:72 ✺
21.02.26	Regatas Corrientes - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	67:86 ✺
19.02.26	San Martín de Corrientes - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	88:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian LNB
06.11.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Boca Juniors	89:78
21.03.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Boca Juniors	64:72
25.10.24	Boca Juniors - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	83:81
29.04.24	Boca Juniors - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	87:83
15.10.23	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Boca Juniors	72:92
28.04.23	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Boca Juniors	110:114 OT
25.04.23	Boca Juniors - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	98:84

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