Match Info

NBB

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday

Location: Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium (Rio de Janeiro)


	Botafogo		Cruzeiro

	1	2
	1.95	1.74	Watch
	1.84	1.8	Watch
	1.95	1.87
	1.89	1.83	Watch
	1.91	1.85
	1.87	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.12)	1.82 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo
48.9%

Cruzeiro
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo's performance.

Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cruzeiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cruzeiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Botafogo - Cruzeiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Derick Machado	22. Ansaloni R.
3. Machado S.	10. Bueno C.
7. Matheusinho B.	30. Da Silva M.
22. Matias E.	2. Nique
41. Scheuer P.	0. Thornton I.
Substitutes
6. Fellipe Paulino	3. Abreu L.
4. Joao Davi	7. Clay Y.
2. Klebinho	5. Gittens G.
55. Machado L.	12. JJ
33. Moreira A.	21. Sena W.
0. Nascimento N.	17. Sommer E.
17. Rodrigues L.
Coaches
. Balbis J.	. Perez T.

Preview

Recent performances by Botafogo have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cruzeiro has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Botafogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Botafogo will win today's game, with odds of 2.12.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Botafogo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 65:89.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo Basketball
Brazilian NBB
03.04.26	Botafogo - Paulistano	72:86 ✺
24.03.26	União Corinthians - Botafogo	71:78 ✺
22.03.26	Caxias do Sul - Botafogo	67:68 ✺
16.03.26	Botafogo - Pinheiros	62:93 ✺
12.03.26	Botafogo - Osasco	85:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.2 LWWLW
- Cruzeiro Basquete
Brazilian NBB
01.04.26	Minas - Cruzeiro	101:88 ✺
19.03.26	Cruzeiro - União Corinthians	66:67 ✺
17.03.26	Cruzeiro - Caxias do Sul	76:85 ✺
12.03.26	Pinheiros - Cruzeiro	101:79 ✺
10.03.26	Paulistano - Cruzeiro	88:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
16.12.25	Cruzeiro - Botafogo	89:65

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