Match Info

NBB

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium (Rio de Janeiro)


	Botafogo		Osasco

	1	2
	1.56	2.3
	1.48	2.35
	1.5	2.63
	1.54	2.35	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.48	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.44)	2.43 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo
61.7%

Osasco
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Osasco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasco than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Osasco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Botafogo - Osasco Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5, OT - Botafogo (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Derick Machado	6. Caribaux B.
3. Machado S.	33. Carvalho E.
7. Matheusinho B.	3. Harris A.
22. Matias E.	31. Malachias G.
41. Scheuer P.	15. Passos H.
Substitutes
6. Fellipe Paulino	25. Breno
4. Joao Davi	8. Dalaqua F.
2. Klebinho	11. Grant A.
55. Machado L.	4. Leoni
33. Moreira A.	29. Weber M.
0. Nascimento N.
17. Rodrigues L.
Coaches
. Balbis J.	. Enio Vecchi

Preview

Botafogo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Osasco is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Osasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Osasco has had a series of away games.

Botafogo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Botafogo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 70:79.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo Basketball
Brazilian NBB
06.03.26	Brasília Basquete - Botafogo	79:73 ✺
04.03.26	Rio Claro - Botafogo	82:83 ✺
19.02.26	Botafogo - Bauru	81:87 ✺
17.02.26	Botafogo - Franca	66:88 ✺
12.02.26	Pato - Botafogo	93:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLLL
- Basket Osasco
Brazilian NBB
07.03.26	Osasco - Cruzeiro	84:92 ✺
05.03.26	São José dos Campos - Osasco	98:81 ✺
22.02.26	Caxias do Sul - Osasco	83:66 ✺
20.02.26	União Corinthians - Osasco	83:79 ✺
07.02.26	Paulistano - Osasco	86:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
02.12.25	Osasco - Botafogo	79:70

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