Match Info

NBB

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Ginasio Felipe Karam (Rio Claro)


	Rio Claro		Botafogo

	1	2
	1.28	3.4	Watch
	1.26	3.15	Watch
	1.42	2.65
	1.43	2.67	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.42	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.41)	2.99 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Claro
68.9%

Botafogo
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Claro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Botafogo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Claro than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rio Claro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rio Claro - Botafogo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. dos Anjos J.	24. Derick Machado
6. Narcizio V.	22. Matias E.
19. Bonfim M.	41. Scheuer P.
35. Sacco G.	7. Matheusinho B.
8. Thygesen F.	3. Machado S.
Substitutes
1. Akin	6. Fellipe Paulino
7. Costa A.	55. Machado L.
11. Enzo	33. Moreira A.
17. Johansson R.	0. Nascimento N.
13. Murilo	17. Rodrigues L.
9. Pastor
3. Rocha C.
Coaches
. Silva R.	. Balbis J.

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Botafogo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Botafogo has had a series of home games.

Rio Claro could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Rio Claro will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rio Claro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 222:256. (average 74:85.3).

Including home match between the teams, Rio Claro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 89:90.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Claro Basquete
Brazilian NBB
21.02.26	Cruzeiro - Rio Claro	95:79 ✺
19.02.26	Minas - Rio Claro	98:95 OT ✺
16.02.26	Rio Claro - Flamengo	93:87 OT ✺
05.02.26	Rio Claro - União Corinthians	82:77 ✺
03.02.26	Rio Claro - Caxias do Sul	79:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 LLWWW
- Botafogo Basketball
Brazilian NBB
19.02.26	Botafogo - Bauru	81:87 ✺
17.02.26	Botafogo - Franca	66:88 ✺
12.02.26	Pato - Botafogo	93:67 ✺
05.02.26	Botafogo - Mogi	70:69 ✺
21.01.26	Botafogo - São José dos Campos	89:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
20.11.25	Botafogo - Rio Claro	74:61
14.02.20	Rio Claro - Botafogo	89:90
08.12.19	Botafogo - Rio Claro	92:72

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