Match Info

NBB

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Ginasio do Sesi (Pato Branco)

Referee: Guilherme Sampaio L. (Bra)


	Pato		Botafogo

	1	2
	1.48	2.55	Watch
	1.4	2.6	Watch
	1.41	2.87
	1.46	2.55	Watch
	1.44	2.7
	1.42	2.66	Watch
	1.41	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.37)	2.66 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pato
65%

Botafogo
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Botafogo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pato than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Pato - Botafogo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:74

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. de Souza M.	24. Derick Machado
11. Edu Marilia	3. Machado S.
41. Fidelis J.	7. Matheusinho B.
77. Horton R.	22. Matias E.
4. Nakazawa L.	41. Scheuer P.
Substitutes
37. Batista G.	6. Fellipe Paulino
3. Euler C.	8. Lele
17. Gomes N.	55. Machado L.
10. Mateus	33. Moreira A.
71. Penteado D.	0. Nascimento N.
5. Thompson T.	17. Rodrigues L.
34. Zonzini W.
Coaches
. Gitiony R.	. Balbis J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pato won 3.

Pato is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Botafogo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Botafogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pato is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Pato won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 573:568. (average 81.9:81.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pato won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 264:239. (average 88:79.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pato Basquete
Brazilian NBB
04.02.26	Pato - Flamengo	84:53 ✺
02.02.26	Pato - Vasco da Gama	75:84 ✺
21.01.26	Minas - Pato	75:67 ✺
19.01.26	Cruzeiro - Pato	89:81 ✺
12.01.26	Pato - União Corinthians	72:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLLLL
- Botafogo Basketball
Brazilian NBB
05.02.26	Botafogo - Mogi	70:69 ✺
21.01.26	Botafogo - São José dos Campos	89:80 ✺
19.01.26	Botafogo - Corinthians Paulista	73:74 ✺
16.01.26	Basquete Cearense - Botafogo	86:82 ✺
13.01.26	Unifacisa - Botafogo	77:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
07.11.25	Botafogo - Pato	82:75
16.02.25	Botafogo - Pato	91:76
28.11.24	Pato - Botafogo	98:78
24.01.24	Pato - Botafogo	97:86
24.10.23	Botafogo - Pato	71:79
12.02.20	Pato - Botafogo	69:75
15.11.19	Botafogo - Pato	85:79

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