Match Info

Euroleague Women - Second stage - Round 5

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Palais des sports du Prado (Bourges)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Bulgaria	DAZN
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
Greece	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN
Kazakhstan	DAZN
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Romania	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
Sweden	DAZN
Ukraine	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN


	Bourges Basket		Galatasaray

	1	2
	2.22	1.59	Watch
	2.33	1.55	Watch
	2.38	1.58
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.38	1.57
	2.4	1.55
	2.2	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.83)	1.58 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 140.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bourges Basket
40.6%

Galatasaray
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bourges Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bourges Basket's form might have worsened.

Galatasaray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Galatasaray's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bourges Basket than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bourges Basket, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Galatasaray, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Bourges Basket - Galatasaray Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Bourges will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Galatasaray will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bourges: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bourges Basket will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 71:71

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Diaby K.	23. Johannes M.
3. Djadi-Tabdi M.	14. Juhasz D.
39. Duchet A.	34. Kuier A.
21. Guapo L.	3. Oblak T.
32. Pouye T.	0. Smalls K.
Substitutes
19. Bamba R.	17. Bayram E.
2. Foppossi M.	7. Cidal S.
24. Makani M.	8. Cora A. (C)
25. Naigre E. (C)	11. Erdogan D.
26. Pitarch-Granel I.	6. Fitik G.
1. Poilve M.	1. Williams E.
11. Selle M.	5. Yilmaz S.
Coaches
. Lafargue O.	. Okul F.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bourges won 3.

Bourges is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Galatasaray has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bourges may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Bourges has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bourges won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 434:437. (average 72.3:72.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Bourges won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 228:221. (average 76:73.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bourges Basket
French LFB
24.01.26	Bourges Basket - ESB Villeneuve-dAscq	65:62 ✺
Euroleague Women
21.01.26	Flammes Carolo - Bourges Basket	65:59 ✺
French Cup Basketball Women
17.01.26	Bourges Basket - Union Angers	72:70 ✺
Euroleague Women
14.01.26	Bourges Basket - Famila Schio	92:81 ✺
French LFB
11.01.26	Bourges Basket - Flammes Carolo	80:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWW
- Galatasaray Womens Basketball
Turkish Basketball League Women
25.01.26	Galatasaray - Emlak Konut	64:60 ✺
Euroleague Women
22.01.26	Galatasaray - USK Prague	64:71 ✺
Turkish Basketball League Women
17.01.26	Nesibe Aydin - Galatasaray	64:79 ✺
Euroleague Women
14.01.26	Uni Girona - Galatasaray	68:82 ✺
Turkish Cup Basketball Women
11.01.26	Fenerbahçe - Galatasaray	86:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague Women
17.12.25	Galatasaray - Bourges Basket	80:62
Eurocup Women
05.04.22	Bourges Basket - Galatasaray	69:67
Euroleague Women
22.01.21	Galatasaray - Bourges Basket	75:65
21.01.21	Bourges Basket - Galatasaray	87:80
03.01.18	Galatasaray - Bourges Basket	61:79
25.10.17	Bourges Basket - Galatasaray	72:74

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