Match Info

BRAZIL: NBB

Date: 1 March 2024, Friday

Location: Arena BRB Nilson Nelson (Brasília)


	Brasília Basquete		Cerrado

	1	2
	2.3	1.56
	2.2	1.6
	2.45	1.45
	2.42	1.5
	2.65	1.5
	2.38	1.53
	2.59	1.46	Watch
	2.45	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.48)	1.51 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasília Basquete
38.3%

Cerrado
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

62%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasília Basquete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Cerrado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasília Basquete than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerrado than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Brasília Basquete - Cerrado Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:80

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Uniceub won 3.

Uniceub is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cerrado is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cerrado could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

Cerrado will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Uniceub won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 555-588.

Including matches at home between the teams Uniceub won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 231-233.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasília Basquete
Brazilian NBB
17.02.24	Brasília Basquete - Flamengo	74:86 ✺
09.02.24	Caxias do Sul - Brasília Basquete	79:67 ✺
07.02.24	União Corinthians - Brasília Basquete	73:59 ✺
24.01.24	Pinheiros - Brasília Basquete	88:92 ✺
22.01.24	Corinthians Paulista - Brasília Basquete	87:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLLWL
- Cerrado Basquete
Brazilian NBB
15.02.24	Cerrado - Flamengo	83:86 ✺
07.02.24	Caxias do Sul - Cerrado	72:86 ✺
05.02.24	União Corinthians - Cerrado	75:103 ✺
24.01.24	Corinthians Paulista - Cerrado	73:56 ✺
22.01.24	Pinheiros - Cerrado	84:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
24.11.23	Cerrado - Brasília Basquete	84:53
02.03.23	Brasília Basquete - Cerrado	86:65
26.11.22	Cerrado - Brasília Basquete	88:96
08.04.22	Cerrado - Brasília Basquete	86:90 OT (79:79)
11.12.21	Brasília Basquete - Cerrado	72:82
11.02.21	Brasília Basquete - Cerrado	73:86
06.01.21	Cerrado - Brasília Basquete	97:85

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