Match Info

BRAZIL: NBB

Date: 7 February 2024, Wednesday

Location: Ginasio do Sesi (Caxias do Sul)


	Caxias do Sul		Cerrado

	1	2
	1.48	2.55	Watch
	1.48	2.45
	1.47	2.4	Watch
	1.5	2.42
	1.52	2.59
	1.5	2.5
	1.5	2.47	Watch
	1.48	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.5)	2.48 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 152.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caxias do Sul
62.5%

Cerrado
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caxias do Sul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Cerrado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias do Sul than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerrado than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Caxias do Sul - Cerrado Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:74

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Caxias do Sul won 4.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Cerrado could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Caxias do Sul have a series of guest games.

Caxias do Sul will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Caxias do Sul won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 550-533.

Including matches at home between the teams Caxias do Sul won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 245-219.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caxias do Sul Basquete
Brazilian NBB
23.01.24	Flamengo - Caxias do Sul	105:62 ✺
20.01.24	Vasco da Gama - Caxias do Sul	78:73 ✺
18.01.24	Botafogo - Caxias do Sul	76:82 ✺
12.01.24	União Corinthians - Caxias do Sul	79:75 OT ✺
03.01.24	Caxias do Sul - Flamengo	84:85 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWLL
- Cerrado Basquete
Brazilian NBB
05.02.24	União Corinthians - Cerrado	75:103 ✺
24.01.24	Corinthians Paulista - Cerrado	73:56 ✺
22.01.24	Pinheiros - Cerrado	84:61 ✺
19.01.24	Cerrado - Minas	71:84 ✺
08.01.24	Cerrado - Pato	75:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
09.11.23	Cerrado - Caxias do Sul	77:83 OT
30.01.23	Cerrado - Caxias do Sul	91:98
05.11.22	Caxias do Sul - Cerrado	82:67
09.02.22	Cerrado - Caxias do Sul	79:61
10.11.21	Caxias do Sul - Cerrado	72:64
28.02.21	Caxias do Sul - Cerrado	91:88 OT (77:77)
25.11.20	Cerrado - Caxias do Sul	67:63

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