Match Info

NBB

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday

Location: Ginasio Wlamir Marques (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Victorino T. L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2


	Corinthians Paulista		Brasília Basquete

	1	2
	1.48	2.55	Watch
	1.48	2.35
	1.53	2.5
	1.57	2.25
	1.53	2.45
	1.54	2.32	Watch
	1.43	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.44)	2.44 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians Paulista
61.8%

Brasília Basquete
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians Paulista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Brasília Basquete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians Paulista than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasília Basquete than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Corinthians Paulista - Brasília Basquete Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 158.5, OT - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Munford R.	2. Crescenzi K.
10. Victao	13. Paulichi R.
23. Caue L.	11. Cardoso B.
55. Elinho	14. Silva B.
15. Clark E.	7. Corvalan F.
Substitutes
3. Cardoso L.	77. Beller
1. Faria T.	30. Daniel
17. Gabriel Novaes	9. da Silva P.
9. Jamelao	10. Santana L.
2. Nascimento A.	6. Silva G.
8. Pereira K.
11. Raymundo K.
Coaches
. Leite J.	. Barbosa D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians Paulista won 3.

Corinthians Paulista has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Brasília Basquete is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Brasília Basquete may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Corinthians Paulista has had a series of away games.

Corinthians Paulista is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Corinthians Paulista won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1375:1265. (average 85.9:79.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians Paulista won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 711:615. (average 88.9:76.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians Paulista Basketball
Brazilian NBB
10.12.25	Bauru - Corinthians Paulista	94:84 ✺
03.12.25	Franca - Corinthians Paulista	80:71 ✺
23.11.25	Mogi - Corinthians Paulista	67:70 ✺
19.11.25	Corinthians Paulista - Pato	87:68 ✺
Basketball South American League
16.11.25	Defensor Sporting - Corinthians Paulista	75:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWWL
- Brasília Basquete
Brazilian NBB
10.12.25	São José dos Campos - Brasília Basquete	87:73 ✺
06.12.25	Brasília Basquete - Unifacisa	84:81 ✺
04.12.25	Brasília Basquete - Basquete Cearense	105:90 ✺
23.11.25	Vasco da Gama - Brasília Basquete	59:81 ✺
20.11.25	Flamengo - Brasília Basquete	83:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
22.01.25	Brasília Basquete - Corinthians Paulista	74:70
02.11.24	Corinthians Paulista - Brasília Basquete	99:105
22.01.24	Corinthians Paulista - Brasília Basquete	87:64
21.10.23	Brasília Basquete - Corinthians Paulista	72:84
15.04.23	Corinthians Paulista - Brasília Basquete	90:73
05.01.23	Brasília Basquete - Corinthians Paulista	88:101
08.03.22	Brasília Basquete - Corinthians Paulista	89:91

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