Match Info

ITALY: LEGA A - ROUND 30

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday

Location: PalaPentassuglia (Brindisi)


	Brindisi		Trieste

	1	2
	1.25	4.2	Watch
	1.26	3.6
	1.23	4.25	Watch
	1.25	4.15
	1.24	4.2	Watch
	1.24	4.15	Watch
	1.21	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.37)	4.08 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brindisi
76.7%

Trieste
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brindisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brindisi's performance.

Trieste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trieste might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brindisi than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brindisi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trieste than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trieste could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Brindisi - Trieste Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:77

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: ) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brindisi won 4.

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Brindisi is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Brindisi won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1021-883.

Including matches at home between the teams Brindisi won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 526-437.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Brindisi
Italian Lega A Basketball
30.04.23	Basket Brescia - Brindisi	75:69 ✺
23.04.23	Brindisi - Basket Trento	73:86 ✺
19.04.23	Varese - Brindisi	93:86 ✺
16.04.23	Brindisi - Dinamo Sassari	92:58 ✺
11.04.23	Scafati - Brindisi	85:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWL
- Pallacanestro Trieste 2004
Italian Lega A Basketball
30.04.23	Trieste - Verona	85:77 ✺
23.04.23	Basket Pesaro - Trieste	94:83 ✺
19.04.23	Dinamo Sassari - Trieste	103:80 ✺
16.04.23	Trieste - Varese	80:83 ✺
08.04.23	Basket Trento - Trieste	85:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
11.12.22	Trieste - Brindisi	66:83
24.04.22	Brindisi - Trieste	96:87
26.09.21	Trieste - Brindisi	84:82 OT (70:70)
17.05.21	Trieste - Brindisi	77:79
14.05.21	Brindisi - Trieste	86:54
13.05.21	Brindisi - Trieste	85:64
27.02.21	Brindisi - Trieste	81:74

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