Match Info

Lega A - Round 25

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: PalaTrieste (Trieste)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	LBA TV


	Trieste		Varese

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.6	Watch
	1.48	2.65
	1.52	2.47	Watch
	1.4	2.85
	1.51	2.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.51)	2.64 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trieste
64.2%

Varese
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trieste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trieste than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varese than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Trieste - Varese Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Trieste (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Trieste will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Bannan J.	2. Alviti D.
8. Deangeli L.	11. Iroegbu I.
37. Ramsey J.	4. Moore T.
4. Ross C.	8. Nkamhoua O.
11. Sissoko M.	15. Renfro N.
Substitutes
13. Candussi F.	19. Bergamin M.
5. Cinquepalmi Z.	55. Freeman A.
18. Iannuzzi P.	34. Ladurner M.
2. Martucci E.	13. Librizzi M.
10. Ruzzier M.	7. N'Guessan E.
1. Toscano-Anderson J.	1. Stewart C.
9. Uthoff J.	5. Villa M.
Coaches
. Taccetti F.	. Kastritis I.

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trieste won 1.

In recent matches, Trieste has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Varese is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Trieste is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Trieste won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1093:1120. (average 84.1:86.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Trieste won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 523:529. (average 87.2:88.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
6	Varese	3	2	1	239:251	4
16	Trieste	3	0	3	245:255	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallacanestro Trieste 2004
Italian Lega A Basketball
29.03.26	Cantù - Trieste	97:76 ✺
22.03.26	Trieste - Venezia	78:84 ✺
Champions League Basketball
17.03.26	Trieste - Canarias	82:76 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
14.03.26	Trieste - Basket Trento	84:78 ✺
Champions League Basketball
11.03.26	Nymburk - Trieste	82:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWWL
- Pallacanestro Varese
Italian Lega A Basketball
28.03.26	Varese - Derthona Basket Tortona	97:87 ✺
22.03.26	Napoli Basket - Varese	104:75 ✺
15.03.26	Varese - Treviso Basket	91:86 ✺
08.03.26	Udine - Varese	81:92 ✺
14.02.26	Varese - Basket Brescia	98:96 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
21.12.25	Varese - Trieste	84:69
04.05.25	Varese - Trieste	85:80
03.11.24	Trieste - Varese	107:81
16.04.23	Trieste - Varese	80:83
18.12.22	Varese - Trieste	104:99 OT (88:88)
13.04.22	Varese - Trieste	76:92
14.11.21	Trieste - Varese	70:86

Trieste - Varese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide