Match Info

Super Lig - Round 14

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Tofas Spor Salonu (Bursa)


	Bursaspor		Esenler Erokspor

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.58
	2.27	1.56	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.33	1.57
	2.35	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.9)	1.56 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bursaspor
40.6%

Esenler Erokspor
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bursaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bursaspor's form might have worsened.

Esenler Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Esenler Erokspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bursaspor than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bursaspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esenler Erokspor than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Esenler Erokspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Bursaspor - Esenler Erokspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bursaspor will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Esenler Erokspor will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5, OT - Bursaspor (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Esenler Erokspor will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Bursaspor (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Esenler Erokspor (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Akin B.	18. Arna E.
0. Childress B.	12. Cornelie P.
34. Konontsuk A.	22. Love J.
35. Nnoko L.	4. Pangos K.
5. Parsons M.	11. Simmons J.
Substitutes
3. Akdamar T. (C)	14. Akyazili T.
13. Crawford B.	41. Akyel M.
12. DeLaurier J.	1. Crawford J. (C)
22. King V. E.	44. Duverioglu A.
14. Onar Y.	9. Galloway L.
16. Pacaci M.	7. Gazi E.
10. Satir B.	15. Thurman T.
Coaches
. Caki A.	. Sarica U.

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 9).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Outrights of Turkish Basketball Super Ligi for now

Esenler Erokspor: 1.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	Esenler Erokspor	3	2	1	262:254	5
16	Bursaspor	2	0	2	145:160	2

Last Results with these Odds

Esenler Erokspor - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 52.49%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bursaspor Basketball
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
28.12.25	Büyükçekmece - Bursaspor	91:88 ✺
21.12.25	Bursaspor - Mersin SK	99:88 ✺
Champions League Basketball
17.12.25	Bursaspor - Hapoel Holon	81:92 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
13.12.25	Türk Telekom BK - Bursaspor	101:74 ✺
06.12.25	Bursaspor - Galatasaray	91:87 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLLW
- Esenler Erokspor Basketball
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
28.12.25	Esenler Erokspor - Karşıyaka	97:94 ✺
22.12.25	Esenler Erokspor - Büyükçekmece	86:65 ✺
14.12.25	Mersin SK - Esenler Erokspor	83:88 ✺
07.12.25	Esenler Erokspor - Türk Telekom BK	61:67 ✺
23.11.25	Galatasaray - Esenler Erokspor	88:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLL

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