Match Info

NCAA

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Butler Bulldogs		Xavier Musketeers

	1	2
	1.48	2.55
	1.52	2.4
	1.54	2.34	Watch
	1.5	2.55
	1.51	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.6)	2.47 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Butler Bulldogs
62%

Xavier Musketeers
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Butler Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Xavier Musketeers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Butler Bulldogs than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xavier Musketeers than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Butler Bulldogs - Xavier Musketeers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:77

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Butler won 1.

Butler is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Xavier has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Xavier may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Butler will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Butler won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1419:1517. (average 71:75.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Butler won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 648:680. (average 72:75.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Butler Bulldogs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
18.02.26	Georgetown Hoyas - Butler Bulldogs	89:93 ✺
15.02.26	Butler Bulldogs - Seton Hall Pirates	56:63 ✺
11.02.26	Butler Bulldogs - Connecticut Huskies	70:80 ✺
07.02.26	Marquette Golden Eagles - Butler Bulldogs	70:55 ✺
04.02.26	Providence Friars - Butler Bulldogs	97:87 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLLL
- Xavier Musketeers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
17.02.26	Xavier Musketeers - Villanova Wildcats	89:92 OT ✺
14.02.26	Xavier Musketeers - Marquette Golden Eagles	96:88 ✺
09.02.26	St. Johns Red Storm - Xavier Musketeers	87:82 OT ✺
03.02.26	Connecticut Huskies - Xavier Musketeers	92:60 ✺
31.01.26	Xavier Musketeers - DePaul Blue Demons	68:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
14.01.26	Xavier Musketeers - Butler Bulldogs	89:75
05.03.25	Butler Bulldogs - Xavier Musketeers	78:91
18.02.25	Xavier Musketeers - Butler Bulldogs	76:63
13.03.24	Butler Bulldogs - Xavier Musketeers	72:76
06.03.24	Butler Bulldogs - Xavier Musketeers	72:66
16.01.24	Xavier Musketeers - Butler Bulldogs	85:71
04.03.23	Xavier Musketeers - Butler Bulldogs	78:66

Butler Bulldogs - Xavier Musketeers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide