Match Info

SPAIN: ACB - Round 17

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Coliseum da Coruna (La Coruña)

Referee: Merino C. (Esp)


	Básquet Coruña		UCAM Murcia

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.65
	2.3	1.63	Watch
	2.35	1.6	Watch
	2.25	1.6
	2.31	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.97)	1.62 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Básquet Coruña
41.4%

UCAM Murcia
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

51.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Básquet Coruña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Básquet Coruña's form might have worsened.

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UCAM Murcia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Básquet Coruña than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Básquet Coruña, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UCAM Murcia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Básquet Coruña - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Barrueta Y.	20. Brodziansky V.
77. Burjanadze B.	31. Ennis D.
8. Huskic G.	00. Kurucs R.
9. Lundqvist K.	8. Sant-Roos H.
11. Taylor B.	19. Todorovic M.
Substitutes
12. Diagne A.	35. Birgander S.
22. Font A.	10. Caupain T.
13. Heurtel T.	21. Diagne M.
7. Jakovics I.	22. Hakanson L.
6. Scrubb P.	12. Radebaugh J.
0. Thiam O.	11. Radovic N.
33. Thompkins T.	30. Stephens D. J.
Coaches
. Epifanio D.	. Alonso S.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera FEB and 11).

Básquet Coruña has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Murcia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Básquet Coruña could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Murcia will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Básquet Coruña
Spanish ACB League
12.01.25	CB Breogán - Básquet Coruña	83:80 ✺
08.01.25	Baskonia - Básquet Coruña	114:66 ✺
05.01.25	Básquet Coruña - Valencia	91:99 ✺
28.12.24	Básquet Coruña - Bilbao Basket	79:100 ✺
22.12.24	Básquet Coruña - Joventut Badalona	85:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- UCAM Murcia
Spanish ACB League
12.01.25	UCAM Murcia - Força Lleida CE	88:81 ✺
04.01.25	Basquet Manresa - UCAM Murcia	80:74 ✺
02.01.25	UCAM Murcia - Unicaja Malaga	77:89 ✺
28.12.24	UCAM Murcia - Granada	84:81 ✺
21.12.24	Canarias - UCAM Murcia	82:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLWL

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