Match Info

LPB - Round 9

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Pavilhão Henrique Miranda (Queluz)


	CAQ Queluz		Ovarense

	1	2
	2	1.67	Watch
	1.99	1.71	Watch
	1.95	1.73
	2.06	1.68
	1.95	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.7)	1.71 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CAQ Queluz
46.2%

Ovarense
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CAQ Queluz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CAQ Queluz's form might have worsened.

Ovarense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ovarense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CAQ Queluz than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CAQ Queluz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ovarense than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ovarense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

CAQ Queluz - Ovarense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Bradley M.	5. Heath J.
14. Robinson W.	3. Pavicevic I.
7. Simmons J.	13. Soeiro R.
0. Wade D.	55. Stormo J.
23. Williams D.	20. Teixeira G.
Substitutes
10. Carniero J.	15. Finke T.
1. Dixon J.	2. Jenkins J.
22. Hallman A.	10. Monteiro M.
8. Horta D.	9. Morais N. (C)
6. Sousa N.	12. Silva J.
3. Tavares G. (C)	33. Vuaka I.
	0. Woods A.
Coaches
. Rodrigues C.	. Silva J.

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

CAQ Queluz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, CAQ Queluz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 170:173. (average 85:86.5).

Including home match between the teams, CAQ Queluz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 86:87.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CAQ Queluz
Portuguese LPB
20.12.25	Oliveirense - CAQ Queluz	88:76 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball
13.12.25	CAQ Queluz - Vasco Da Gama Porto	101:99 ✺
Portuguese LPB
06.12.25	CAQ Queluz - Porto	97:103 ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
22.11.25	CAQ Queluz - Imortal	87:88 ✺
Portuguese LPB
15.11.25	Vasco Da Gama Porto - CAQ Queluz	80:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW
- Ovarense Basquetebol
Taca de Portugal Basketball
14.12.25	Povoa - Ovarense	67:68 ✺
Portuguese LPB
06.12.25	Ovarense - Benfica	70:96 ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
22.11.25	Ovarense - Braga	78:84 OT ✺
Portuguese LPB
15.11.25	Vitória de Guimarães - Ovarense	77:94 ✺
08.11.25	Ovarense - Imortal	72:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LPB
11.01.25	Ovarense - CAQ Queluz	86:84
26.10.24	CAQ Queluz - Ovarense	86:87

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