Match Info

ACB - Round 10

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Pazo dos Deportes (Lugo)

Referee: Sanchez C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana


	CB Breogán		Canarias

	1	2
	2.65	1.5	Watch
	2.65	1.46	Watch
	2.84	1.44
	2.61	1.47
	2.5	1.47
	2.69	1.49	Watch
	2.8	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.15)	1.47 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CB Breogán
35.4%

Canarias
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CB Breogán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CB Breogán's form might have worsened.

Canarias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Canarias's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CB Breogán than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CB Breogán, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canarias than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Canarias, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

CB Breogán - Canarias Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Breogán will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Canarias will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Breogán: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): CB Breogán will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Brankovic D.	42. Doornekamp A.
1. Cook K.	3. Fernandez J.
0. Dibba B.	6. Fitipaldo B.
47. Kurucs A.	11. Scrubb T.
4. Russell D.	19. Shermadini G.
Substitutes
10. Alonso F.	21. Abromaitis T.
37. Andric M.	33. Alderete H.
8. Apic D.	31. Giedraitis R.
17. Aranitovic A.	35. Guerra F.
19. Mavra D.	9. Huertas M.
23. Quintela E.	15. Sastre J.
18. Sakho J.	4. Van Beck W.
Coaches
. Casimiro L.	. Vidorreta T.

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breogán won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Canarias may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Canarias might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Breogán will win today's game, with odds of 2.42.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Breogán won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 778:832. (average 77.8:83.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Breogán won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 391:377. (average 78.2:75.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CB Breogán
Spanish ACB League
06.12.25	Girona - CB Breogán	103:80 ✺
22.11.25	CB Breogán - San Pablo Burgos	105:78 ✺
16.11.25	UCAM Murcia - CB Breogán	83:96 ✺
08.11.25	CB Breogán - Gran Canaria 2014	81:92 ✺
01.11.25	CB Breogán - Granada	95:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWLW
- CB Canarias
Champions League Basketball
10.12.25	Canarias - Trapani	80:83 ✺
Spanish ACB League
07.12.25	Canarias - Real Madrid	70:71 ✺
23.11.25	Basket Zaragoza - Canarias	76:84 ✺
16.11.25	Valencia - Canarias	96:79 ✺
Champions League Basketball
11.11.25	Canarias - Tofaş	80:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
02.02.25	Canarias - CB Breogán	96:83
07.11.24	CB Breogán - Canarias	78:79
05.05.24	CB Breogán - Canarias	76:54
07.10.23	Canarias - CB Breogán	88:81 OT
23.04.23	Canarias - CB Breogán	85:67
26.11.22	CB Breogán - Canarias	61:86
09.04.22	Canarias - CB Breogán	96:78

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