Match Info

SPAIN: ACB - Round 28

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Pazo dos Deportes (Lugo)


	CB Breogán		Palencia

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	3
	1.35	3.2	Watch
	1.36	3.28
	1.36	3.28
	1.33	3.4
	1.35	3.27	Watch
	1.35	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.34)	3.24 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CB Breogán
70.5%

Palencia
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CB Breogán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Palencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CB Breogán than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palencia than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

CB Breogán - Palencia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Fernandez J.	4. Hands J.
10. Garcia S.	5. Ortega C.
7. McLemore B.	18. Pasecniks A.
9. Momirov S.	1. Pineiro I.
99. Nakic T.	6. Van Der Vuurst K.
Substitutes
8. Jogela M.	11. Barrientos M.
2. Polite A.	8. Benite V.
23. Quintela E.	33. Frankamp C.
42. Quintela S.	15. Gonzalez C.
5. Robinson J.	3. Haarms M.
6. Rudan M.	9. Kamba M.
18. Sakho J.	12. Ubal A.
Coaches
. Mrsic V.	. Guil L.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ LEB Oro and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LEB Oro).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Breogán won 3.

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Breogán is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Breogán won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 1294-1328.

Including matches at home between the teams Breogán won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 651-617.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CB Breogán
Spanish ACB League
30.03.24	CB Breogán - Bilbao Basket	68:80 ✺
23.03.24	Obradoiro CAB - CB Breogán	83:72 ✺
17.03.24	Barcelona - CB Breogán	85:88 ✺
09.03.24	CB Breogán - Unicaja Malaga	65:76 ✺
02.03.24	Joventut Badalona - CB Breogán	78:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 LLWLL
- Palencia Baloncesto
Spanish ACB League
30.03.24	Palencia - Canarias	68:89 ✺
24.03.24	Palencia - Real Madrid	78:86 ✺
17.03.24	Basket Zaragoza - Palencia	103:96 ✺
10.03.24	Palencia - BC Andorra	77:70 ✺
03.03.24	Valencia - Palencia	111:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
21.10.23	Palencia - CB Breogán	74:59
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
28.02.21	CB Breogán - Palencia	84:76
13.12.20	Palencia - CB Breogán	65:76
01.02.20	CB Breogán - Palencia	75:74
11.10.19	Palencia - CB Breogán	90:76
Club Friendly Basketball
19.09.18	Palencia - CB Breogán	85:68
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
04.03.18	CB Breogán - Palencia	80:82

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