Match Info

NCAA

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Cal Poly Mustangs		UC Riverside Highlanders

	1	2
	1.38	3.1
	1.39	2.85
	1.4	3.08
	1.42	2.71	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.41	2.87
	1.41	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.5)	2.94 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cal Poly Mustangs
67.8%

UC Riverside Highlanders
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.9%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cal Poly Mustangs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

UC Riverside Highlanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cal Poly Mustangs than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UC Riverside Highlanders than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Cal Poly Mustangs - UC Riverside Highlanders Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:79

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cal Poly won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

UC Riverside may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

Cal Poly might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cal Poly won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1357:1504. (average 67.9:75.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cal Poly won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 639:740. (average 63.9:74).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cal Poly Mustangs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
04.12.25	Cal State Fullerton Titans - Cal Poly Mustangs	91:94 ✺
25.11.25	Cal Poly Mustangs - Southeast Missouri State Redhawks	68:84 ✺
24.11.25	Northern Arizona Lumberjacks - Cal Poly Mustangs	93:87 ✺
20.11.25	Utah Utes - Cal Poly Mustangs	85:92 ✺
14.11.25	Montana Grizzlies - Cal Poly Mustangs	90:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLLWL
- UC Riverside Highlanders basketball
NCAA College Basketball
04.12.25	UC Irvine Anteaters - UC Riverside Highlanders	73:60 ✺
29.11.25	Utah Tech Trailblazers - UC Riverside Highlanders	77:69 ✺
24.11.25	UC Riverside Highlanders - Grambling State Tigers	83:74 ✺
21.11.25	San Diego Toreros - UC Riverside Highlanders	71:85 ✺
18.11.25	California Baptist Lancers - UC Riverside Highlanders	80:57 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
13.03.25	UC Riverside Highlanders - Cal Poly Mustangs	83:96
22.02.25	Cal Poly Mustangs - UC Riverside Highlanders	112:100 OT
01.02.25	UC Riverside Highlanders - Cal Poly Mustangs	80:62
24.02.24	Cal Poly Mustangs - UC Riverside Highlanders	78:84
11.01.24	UC Riverside Highlanders - Cal Poly Mustangs	71:56
04.03.23	Cal Poly Mustangs - UC Riverside Highlanders	72:73 OT
16.01.23	UC Riverside Highlanders - Cal Poly Mustangs	83:78 OT

Cal Poly Mustangs - UC Riverside Highlanders: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide