Match Info

ACB - Round 18

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Pabellón Insular Santiago Martín (San Cristóbal de La Laguna)

Referee: Martinez Silla V. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN


	Canarias		Baskonia

	1	2
	1.77	2	Watch
	1.72	2.08	Watch
	1.69	2.21
	1.75	2.03
	1.67	2.05
	1.74	2.14	Watch
	1.8	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.78)	2.08 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canarias
54.5%

Baskonia
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canarias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Baskonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canarias than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baskonia than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Canarias - Baskonia Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Canarias will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Baskonia will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baskonia: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Baskonia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Doornekamp A.	18. Diop K.
6. Fitipaldo B.	7. Kurucs R.
31. Giedraitis R.	17. Radzevicius G.
19. Shermadini G.	2. Simmons K.
4. Van Beck W.	4. Villar R.
Substitutes
21. Abromaitis T.	1. Diakite M.
33. Alderete H.	25. Frisch C.
3. Fernandez J.	0. Howard M.
35. Guerra F.	9. Luwawu-Cabarrot T.
9. Huertas M.	5. Omoruyi E.
15. Sastre J.	10. Spagnolo M.
11. Scrubb T.
Coaches
. Vidorreta T.	. Galbiati P.

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canarias won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Canarias may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Canarias won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1605:1616. (average 80.3:80.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Canarias won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 738:694. (average 82:77.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Baskonia	2	2	0	216:175	4
4	Tenerife	3	2	1	250:233	4

Last Results with these Odds

Baskonia - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 46.94%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CB Canarias
Champions League Basketball
28.01.26	Canarias - Trieste	84:82 ✺
Spanish ACB League
25.01.26	Barcelona - Canarias	82:89 ✺
Champions League Basketball
20.01.26	Canarias - Nymburk	104:80 ✺
Spanish ACB League
17.01.26	Bilbao Basket - Canarias	95:78 ✺
10.01.26	Canarias - Força Lleida CE	87:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWLL
- Saski Baskonia
Euroleague
30.01.26	Baskonia - Žalgiris Kaunas	102:91 ✺
Spanish ACB League
25.01.26	Baskonia - Joventut Badalona	87:77 ✺
Euroleague
23.01.26	Fenerbahçe - Baskonia	84:71 ✺
20.01.26	Panathinaikos - Baskonia	93:74 ✺
Spanish ACB League
18.01.26	Baskonia - Basquet Manresa	130:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
02.11.25	Baskonia - Canarias	89:79
20.04.25	Baskonia - Canarias	89:93
29.09.24	Canarias - Baskonia	88:80
04.02.24	Canarias - Baskonia	95:78
10.12.23	Baskonia - Canarias	104:100
16.04.23	Canarias - Baskonia	83:81
09.10.22	Baskonia - Canarias	79:85

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