The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Canarias 67.2%
Baskonia 32.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
60%
40%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.3%
43.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Canarias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Canarias's performance.
Baskonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Baskonia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canarias than the current prediction. (-10.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Canarias that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baskonia than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Baskonia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Canarias - Baskonia Predictions
Users Predictions:
Canarias will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:85
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Abromaitis T.
12. Baugh D.
6. Fitipaldo B.
35. Faried K.
2. Guy K.
6. Joksimovic S.
22. Happ E.
8. Sedekerskis T.
47. Kurucs A.
3. Stewart D.J.
Substitutes
33. Alderete H.
25. Frisch C.
42. Doornekamp A.
7. Kurucs R.
3. Fernandez J.
1. Lawson A.
9. Huertas M.
21. Marcio
32. Hunter V.
10. Spagnolo M.
7. Lopez-Arostegui X.
4. Van Beck W.
Coaches
. Lakovic J.
. Galbiati P.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canarias won 3.
Canarias is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Baskonia has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Canarias could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Baskonia has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Our forecast points to a victory for Canarias in today's match, at odds of 1.66.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Canarias has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1595:1618 (averaging 79.8:80.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Canarias against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 741:705 goals (averaging 82.3:78.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
L
Pts
2
Tenerife
5
4
1
438:386
8
3
Baskonia
5
3
2
461:414
6
Outrights of Spanish ACB League for now
Tenerife: 2.65%
Last Results with these Odds
Canarias - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 60.03%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
Baskonia - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.97%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.