Match Info

NBL1 East Women

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday


	Canberra Nationals		Maitland Mustangs

	1	2
			Watch
	2.4	1.48
	2.41	1.51
	2.32	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.34	1.48	Watch
	2.44	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.44)	1.49 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 149.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canberra Nationals
38.3%

Maitland Mustangs
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canberra Nationals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Maitland Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canberra Nationals than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maitland Mustangs than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Canberra Nationals - Maitland Mustangs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:77

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Preview

Recent performances by Canberra have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Maitland has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Maitland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Maitland is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Canberra will win today's game, with odds of 2.44.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canberra won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 366:333. (average 73.2:66.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Canberra won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 230:187. (average 76.7:62.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canberra Nationals Women
Australian NBL1 East Women
12.07.25	Hills Hornets - Canberra Nationals	91:74 ✺
12.07.25	Bankstown Bruins - Canberra Nationals	78:63 ✺
05.07.25	Canberra Nationals - Sydney Comets	102:66 ✺
28.06.25	Canberra Nationals - Illawarra Hawks	79:64 ✺
21.06.25	Canberra Nationals - Central Coast Crusaders	74:44 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWWW
- Maitland Mustangs Women
Australian NBL1 East Women
12.07.25	Maitland Mustangs - Newcastle Falcons	67:86 ✺
05.07.25	Central Coast Crusaders - Maitland Mustangs	67:75 ✺
28.06.25	Bankstown Bruins - Maitland Mustangs	84:80 ✺
28.06.25	Maitland Mustangs - Inner West Bulls	73:78 ✺
21.06.25	Maitland Mustangs - Manly Warringah Sea Eagles	66:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 East Women
10.05.25	Maitland Mustangs - Canberra Nationals	75:68
22.06.24	Canberra Nationals - Maitland Mustangs	81:62
13.04.24	Maitland Mustangs - Canberra Nationals	71:68
18.03.23	Canberra Nationals - Maitland Mustangs	71:59
05.08.22	Canberra Nationals - Maitland Mustangs	78:66

Canberra Nationals - Maitland Mustangs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide