Match Info

Primera FEB - Round 25

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Cartagena		Melilla

	1	2
	1.48	2.55	Watch
	1.5	2.3
	1.6	2.35
	1.56	2.24	Watch
	1.53	2.3
	1.55	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 (1.54)	2.34 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartagena
60.4%

Melilla
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cartagena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cartagena - Melilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:78

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Lineups


12. Domenech A.	6. Bergstedt J.
13. Faverani V.	24. Caicedo M.
2. Garuba S.	4. Ceccardi S.
19. Harguindey A.	7. Cordoba P.
11. Idehen E. R.	9. Cruz-Uceda I.
5. Martin A.	22. Diaz Rodriguez C.
1. Polytnice C.	44. Garcia Sanchez J.
4. Rivera I.	10. Hoover N.
15. Rodriguez M.	0. Johnson J.
0. Santana J.	12. Krutous P.
20. Svejcar S.	13. Rodriguez S.
10. Webster K.	33. Stilma M.

Preview

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Melilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cartagena might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cartagena won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 91:84.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cartagena CB
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
10.03.26	Obradoiro CAB - Cartagena	101:49 ✺
07.03.26	Oviedo - Cartagena	92:80 ✺
21.02.26	Cartagena - Palmer Basket	66:82 ✺
11.02.26	Cartagena - Ourense	81:80 ✺
07.02.26	Cartagena - Gipuzkoa Basket	64:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL
- Club Melilla Baloncesto
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
11.03.26	Melilla - Oviedo	79:87 ✺
22.02.26	Melilla - Estela	83:77 ✺
15.02.26	Melilla - Obradoiro CAB	70:92 ✺
11.02.26	CB Lucentum Alicante - Melilla	78:71 ✺
08.02.26	Fibwi Palma - Melilla	84:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
11.01.26	Melilla - Cartagena	84:91

Cartagena - Melilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide