Match Info

Primera FEB - Round 24

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Melilla		Oviedo

	1	2
	2.7	1.42	Watch
	3.17	1.35
	3.06	1.31	Watch
	2.88	1.36
	2.84	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.7)	1.36 (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melilla
31.7%

Oviedo
68.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

66.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oviedo than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oviedo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Melilla - Oviedo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Caicedo M.	41. Cosialls R.
4. Ceccardi S.	55. Lobaco R.
7. Cordoba P.	35. Nwaokorie F.
9. Cruz-Uceda I.	5. Parham G.
0. Johnson J.	3. Villar M.
Substitutes
6. Bergstedt J.	48. Arias Gonzalez J.
22. Diaz Rodriguez C.	11. Copes F. A.
44. Garcia Sanchez J.	7. Duscak D.
10. Hoover N.	4. Faure A.
12. Krutous P.	24. Hermanson C.
13. Rodriguez S.	44. Longarela Gonzalez P.
33. Stilma M.	14. Shelist D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melilla won 3.

Melilla is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Oviedo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Oviedo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Oviedo is considered a favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Melilla won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1464:1357. (average 77.1:71.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Melilla won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 762:668. (average 76.2:66.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
18	Oviedo	2	0	2	136:185	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Melilla Baloncesto
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
22.02.26	Melilla - Estela	83:77 ✺
15.02.26	Melilla - Obradoiro CAB	70:92 ✺
11.02.26	CB Lucentum Alicante - Melilla	78:71 ✺
08.02.26	Fibwi Palma - Melilla	84:78 ✺
01.02.26	Melilla - Básquet Coruña	72:105 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLL
- Oviedo CB
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
07.03.26	Oviedo - Cartagena	92:80 ✺
20.02.26	Burgos - Oviedo	82:89 ✺
15.02.26	Oviedo - Palencia	61:76 ✺
11.02.26	Estela - Oviedo	79:87 ✺
07.02.26	Oviedo - Básquet Coruña	84:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
17.01.26	Oviedo - Melilla	101:70
09.02.24	Melilla - Oviedo	84:81
11.11.23	Oviedo - Melilla	71:79
01.04.23	Oviedo - Melilla	69:78
02.12.22	Melilla - Oviedo	67:70
13.05.22	Oviedo - Melilla	81:79
16.01.22	Melilla - Oviedo	79:78

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