Match Info

Primera FEB - Round 22

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Melilla		Estela

	1	2
	1.74	1.95	Watch
	1.65	2.03	Watch
	1.74	2.1
	1.7	2.01	Watch
	1.67	2.05
	1.65	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.64)	2.04 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Melilla
54.7%

Estela
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Estela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estela than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Melilla - Estela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:81

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Bergstedt J.	12. Alderete D.
24. Caicedo M.	32. Johnson R.
9. Cruz-Uceda I.	10. Martinez G.
22. Diaz Rodriguez C.	8. Rodriguez S.
10. Hoover N.	11. Yu Jiahao
Substitutes
7. Cordoba P.	15. Hernandez P.
3. Ezquerra J.	34. Kande G.
44. Garcia Sanchez J.	2. Powell J.
0. Johnson J.	6. Taboada C.
12. Krutous P.	7. Van Oostrum D.
13. Rodriguez S.
33. Stilma M.

Preview

Melilla has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Estela has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Estela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melilla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 381:413. (average 76.2:82.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Melilla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 160:179. (average 80:89.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
6	Estela	2	2	0	157:144	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Melilla Baloncesto
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
15.02.26	Melilla - Obradoiro CAB	70:92 ✺
11.02.26	CB Lucentum Alicante - Melilla	78:71 ✺
08.02.26	Fibwi Palma - Melilla	84:78 ✺
01.02.26	Melilla - Básquet Coruña	72:105 ✺
17.01.26	Oviedo - Melilla	101:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CD Estela
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
15.02.26	Estela - Gipuzkoa Basket	91:90 ✺
11.02.26	Estela - Oviedo	79:87 ✺
07.02.26	Menorca - Estela	89:81 ✺
31.01.26	Estela - Cartagena	78:72 ✺
18.01.26	Estudiantes - Estela	81:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
01.11.25	Estela - Melilla	76:72
13.03.24	Melilla - Estela	71:84
29.11.23	Estela - Melilla	75:69
30.04.23	Melilla - Estela	89:95
28.12.22	Estela - Melilla	83:80 OT (70:70)

Upcoming Matches