Match Info

SPAIN: LEB Oro - Round 28

Date: 5 April 2024, Friday


	Castelló		Melilla

	1	2
	1.42	2.7
	1.42	2.6
	1.39	2.65
	1.47	2.71
	1.48	2.72
	1.4	2.75
	1.46	2.59
	1.4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.41)	2.68 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castelló
65.2%

Melilla
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castelló has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castelló than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Castelló - Melilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Franch J.	23. Buljan T.
11. Manchon D.	31. Douvier B.
10. Martinez A.	17. Rodriguez A.
97. Okouo V.	7. van Dyke P.
42. Stutz F.	44. Varence H.
Substitutes
12. Bressan G.	9. Arcos G.
33. Dominguez R.	20. Briki S.
8. Faner J.	5. Figueroa H.
13. Lopez P.	8. Lepichev S.
00. Ngom T.	1. Marjanovic A.
45. Orlov V.	12. Menendez J.
17. Roig A.	10. Mulero G.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Castelló won 3.

Castelló is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Melilla has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Castelló will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Castelló won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 1388-1416.

Including matches at home between the teams Castelló won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 733-694.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AB Castelló
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
31.03.24	Estudiantes - Castelló	95:79 ✺
24.03.24	Oviedo - Castelló	80:81 ✺
17.03.24	Castelló - Burgos	72:112 ✺
13.03.24	Castelló - Ourense	78:81 ✺
08.03.24	Gipuzkoa Basket - Castelló	92:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLLL
- Club Melilla Baloncesto
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
31.03.24	Gipuzkoa Basket - Melilla	88:80 ✺
22.03.24	Melilla - Valladolid	80:81 ✺
16.03.24	San Pablo Burgos - Melilla	99:72 ✺
13.03.24	Melilla - Estela	71:84 ✺
08.03.24	Real Betis - Melilla	86:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
29.12.23	Melilla - Castelló	76:65
21.04.23	Castelló - Melilla	105:78
20.12.22	Melilla - Castelló	101:81
11.03.22	Castelló - Melilla	92:91 OT (82:82)
05.11.21	Melilla - Castelló	58:75
03.01.20	Castelló - Melilla	81:91
22.02.19	Castelló - Melilla	73:81

Castelló - Melilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide