Match Info

BRAZIL: NBB

Date: 19 January 2024, Friday

Location: Ginasio da ASCEB (Brasília)


	Cerrado		Minas

	1	2
	4.2	1.2	Watch
	3.2	1.3
	3.4	1.25	Watch
	3.66	1.29
	3.25	1.33
	3.44	1.28	Watch
	3.6	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (3.18)	1.27 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerrado
26.4%

Minas
73.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

71%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

70%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerrado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Minas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerrado than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minas than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Cerrado - Minas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:84

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerrado won 1.

Cerrado is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Minas is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Cerrado could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Minas have a series of home games.

In this match Minas is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Cerrado won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 537-632.

Including matches at home between the teams Cerrado won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 256-295.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerrado Basquete
Brazilian NBB
08.01.24	Cerrado - Pato	75:82 ✺
29.12.23	Unifacisa - Cerrado	92:80 ✺
27.12.23	Basquete Cearense - Cerrado	87:76 ✺
21.12.23	Cerrado - São Paulo	82:74 ✺
18.12.23	Cerrado - Paulistano	64:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLLWL
- Minas Basketball
Brazilian NBB
17.01.24	Brasília Basquete - Minas	68:111 ✺
13.01.24	Minas - Vasco da Gama	81:61 ✺
11.01.24	Minas - Flamengo	86:78 ✺
08.01.24	Minas - Botafogo	89:52 ✺
29.12.23	Minas - União Corinthians	95:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
06.12.23	Minas - Cerrado	67:68
15.02.23	Minas - Cerrado	99:70
17.11.22	Cerrado - Minas	102:112 OT (97:97)
09.03.22	Minas - Cerrado	74:66
07.12.21	Cerrado - Minas	74:90
26.01.21	Cerrado - Minas	80:93
06.12.20	Minas - Cerrado	97:77

Cerrado - Minas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide