Match Info

BRAZIL: NBB

Date: 13 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Ginasio do Sesi (Caxias do Sul)

Referee: Schoenberger F. (Bra)


	Caxias do Sul		São Paulo

	1	2
	1.43	2.65	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.41	2.6	Watch
	1.46	2.7
	1.52	2.49
	1.5	2.5
	1.44	2.65	Watch
	1.41	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.57)	2.54 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caxias do Sul
63.2%

São Paulo
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caxias do Sul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias do Sul than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Caxias do Sul - São Paulo Predictions

Users Predictions: Caxias do Sul will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:76

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Arthur de Abreu	22. Ansaloni R.
26. Betinho	3. Bennett C.
6. Chagas V.	40. Bresolin A.
7. Goncalves I.	33. Miller M.
44. Ruiz Diaz F.	7. Paulo
Substitutes
12. Borges V.	10. Coelho H.
8. Cravero L.	32. Duarte I.
11. Gabriel	16. Igor Andrade
34. Luan	14. Miguel Santos
22. Oliveira T.	2. Oliveira J.
24. Stallworth S.
4. Taylor L.
Coaches
. Barbosa R.	. Guerra J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Caxias do Sul won 0.

Recent matches Caxias do Sul is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

São Paulo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

São Paulo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Caxias do Sul to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Caxias do Sul won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 723:860 (average 72.3:86).

Including matches at home between the teams Caxias do Sul won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 307:357 (average 76.8:89.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caxias do Sul Basquete
Brazilian NBB
05.03.25	Caxias do Sul - Flamengo	85:82 ✺
12.02.25	Brasília Basquete - Caxias do Sul	83:77 ✺
06.02.25	Caxias do Sul - Botafogo	78:67 ✺
04.02.25	Caxias do Sul - Vasco da Gama	88:82 ✺
20.01.25	Pato - Caxias do Sul	78:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WLWWL
- São Paulo FC Basketball
Brazilian NBB
08.03.25	Vasco da Gama - São Paulo	88:78 ✺
04.03.25	São Paulo - Basquete Cearense	75:79 ✺
13.02.25	São Paulo - Unifacisa	68:66 ✺
08.02.25	Pinheiros - São Paulo	80:71 ✺
04.02.25	São Paulo - Corinthians Paulista	66:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
10.12.24	São Paulo - Caxias do Sul	89:79
20.03.24	São Paulo - Caxias do Sul	74:67
28.11.23	Caxias do Sul - São Paulo	79:83
04.03.23	São Paulo - Caxias do Sul	70:64
23.11.22	Caxias do Sul - São Paulo	70:86
02.03.22	São Paulo - Caxias do Sul	93:53
Brazilian Super 8 Basketball
19.01.22	São Paulo - Caxias do Sul	91:72

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