Match Info

BRAZIL: NBB

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Sao Januario Gymnasium (Rio de Janeiro)


	Vasco da Gama		São Paulo

	1	2
	1.27	3.5	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.24	3.45	Watch
	1.23	3.94
	1.27	3.74
	1.29	3.5
	1.25	3.69	Watch
	1.24	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.38)	3.5 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
73.3%

São Paulo
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vasco da Gama's performance.

São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Paulo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vasco da Gama that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Paulo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vasco da Gama - São Paulo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:76

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Marquinhos V.	40. Bresolin A.
13. Paulichi R.	7. Paulo
14. Scheuer P.	22. Ansaloni R.
19. Silva H.	10. Coelho H.
5. Smith J.	3. Bennett C.
Substitutes
10. Basilio G.	8. Buck B.
33. Carvalho E.	32. Duarte I.
6. Eugeniusz M.	16. Igor Andrade
7. Juan	14. Miguel Santos
15. Santana D.	33. Miller M.
4. Vernizz A.	2. Oliveira J.
Coaches
. Figueiro Alves L.	. Guerra J.

Preview

Recent matches Vasco is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

São Paulo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

São Paulo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Vasco is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Vasco won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 232:234 (average 77.3:78).

Including matches at home between the teams Vasco won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 70:80

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama Basketball
Brazilian NBB
28.02.25	Vasco da Gama - Mogi	104:82 ✺
14.02.25	Vasco da Gama - Pato	98:86 ✺
06.02.25	União Corinthians - Vasco da Gama	84:71 ✺
04.02.25	Caxias do Sul - Vasco da Gama	88:82 ✺
Brazilian Super 8 Basketball
26.01.25	Flamengo - Vasco da Gama	92:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLLL
- São Paulo FC Basketball
Brazilian NBB
04.03.25	São Paulo - Basquete Cearense	75:79 ✺
13.02.25	São Paulo - Unifacisa	68:66 ✺
08.02.25	Pinheiros - São Paulo	80:71 ✺
04.02.25	São Paulo - Corinthians Paulista	66:90 ✺
Brazilian Super 8 Basketball
25.01.25	Minas - São Paulo	82:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
06.12.24	São Paulo - Vasco da Gama	84:87
30.03.24	Vasco da Gama - São Paulo	70:80
09.12.23	São Paulo - Vasco da Gama	70:75

Vasco da Gama - São Paulo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide