Match Info

BRAZIL: NBB

Date: 4 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Ginasio do Morumbi (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Zivieri N. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	ESPN 2
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	São Paulo		Corinthians Paulista

	1	2
	1.71	2	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.72	1.96
	1.84	1.97
	1.81	1.99
	1.7	2.05
	1.75	1.98
	1.72	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.64)	2 ↓ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo
53.5%

Corinthians Paulista
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Corinthians Paulista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians Paulista than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

São Paulo - Corinthians Paulista Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Bennett C.	4. Borges C.
40. Bresolin A.	23. Caue L.
10. Coelho H.	55. Elinho
0. Curnell T.	14. Munford R.
13. Faverani V.	10. Victor Camilo
Substitutes
22. Ansaloni R.	3. Cardoso L.
6. da Silva J.	1. Faria T.
16. Igor Andrade	9. Jamelao
14. Miguel Santos	32. Johnson M.
20. Nunes T.	2. Nascimento A.
2. Oliveira J.	11. Nascimento Raymundo K.
7. Paulo	17. Sommer E.
Coaches
. Guerra J.	. Clodoaldo Leite J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 3.

São Paulo has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Corinthians Paulista is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

São Paulo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1111:983 (average 85.5:75.6).

Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 523:438 (average 87.2:73).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo FC Basketball
Brazilian Super 8 Basketball
25.01.25	Minas - São Paulo	82:66 ✺
Brazilian NBB
23.01.25	São Paulo - São José dos Campos	80:89 ✺
21.01.25	Franca - São Paulo	75:65 ✺
17.01.25	São Paulo - Mogi	69:80 ✺
11.01.25	Bauru - São Paulo	75:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Corinthians Paulista Basketball
Brazilian NBB
22.01.25	Brasília Basquete - Corinthians Paulista	74:70 ✺
16.01.25	Corinthians Paulista - Flamengo	95:87 ✺
11.01.25	Corinthians Paulista - Botafogo	84:79 ✺
09.01.25	Corinthians Paulista - Vasco da Gama	99:79 ✺
29.12.24	Pato - Corinthians Paulista	76:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
19.10.24	Corinthians Paulista - São Paulo	80:82
17.02.24	São Paulo - Corinthians Paulista	82:90
14.11.23	Corinthians Paulista - São Paulo	81:78
17.01.23	Corinthians Paulista - São Paulo	73:85
05.11.22	São Paulo - Corinthians Paulista	78:72
26.03.22	São Paulo - Corinthians Paulista	88:67
18.12.21	Corinthians Paulista - São Paulo	78:83

São Paulo - Corinthians Paulista: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide