Match Info
NBA - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 14 April 2026, TuesdayLocation: Spectrum Center (Charlotte, NC)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 World | NBA Global League Pass |
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Charlotte Hornets |
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Miami Heat |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.41 |
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3 |
 Watch |
 |
1.4 |
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2.95 |
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 |
1.42 |
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3.09 |
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 |
1.42 |
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3.04 |
Watch |
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1.4 |
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2.9 |
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 |
1.45 |
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3.02 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.48) |
|
3 ↑
(2.76) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 228.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
- The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Charlotte Hornets
67.9% | Miami Heat
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charlotte Hornets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Miami Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Hornets than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (+4.7%)Charlotte Hornets - Miami Heat Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Charlotte will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Miami will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 32% – 80.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Miami (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +5, OT - Miami (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Miami (votes: 3 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 117:111 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
24.  Miller B.
| 22.  Wiggins A.
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0. Bridges M.
| 13. Adebayo B.
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14.  Diabate M.
| 7. Ware K.
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7. Knueppel K.
| 14. Herro T.
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1. Ball La.
| 45. Mitchell D.
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| Coaches |
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. Lee C.
| . Spoelstra E.
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 1.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Charlotte may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Charlotte could have a small edge in this match.There will not play in Charlotte: Hall P.
(Ankle Injury)There will not play in Miami: Jovic N.
(Ankle Injury)
Rozier T.
(Suspended)
Smith D.
(Foot Injury)There are questionable in Miami: Fontecchio S.
(Ankle Injury)We predict that Charlotte will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 2200:2331. (average 110:116.6).Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1123:1112. (average 112.3:111.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Miami Heat - the odds 2.76 are the expected chance of winning is 34.96%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NBA | | | 17.03.26 | Charlotte Hornets - Miami Heat | 136:106 | | 06.03.26 | Charlotte Hornets - Miami Heat | 120:128 | | 07.11.25 | Miami Heat - Charlotte Hornets | 126:108 | | 28.10.25 | Miami Heat - Charlotte Hornets | 144:117 | | 23.03.25 | Miami Heat - Charlotte Hornets | 122:105 | | 10.03.25 | Miami Heat - Charlotte Hornets | 102:105 | | 27.11.24 | Charlotte Hornets - Miami Heat | 94:98 |
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