Match Info

NBA

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kaseya Center (Miami, FL) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Turkey	03:00	Amazon Prime Video
Usa	20:00	ESPN Deportes, ESPN USA, MSG 2, NBCSN, NBC
International	00:00	NBA Global League Pass


	Miami Heat		Detroit Pistons

	1	2
	2.03	1.81	Watch
	2.05	1.80
	1.98	1.82
	2.12	1.83
	2.04	1.85	Watch
	2.09	1.81
	2.08	1.8
	2	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.76)	1.81 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 235.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miami Heat
47%

Detroit Pistons
53%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Miami Heat's form might have worsened.

Detroit Pistons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Detroit Pistons's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miami Heat, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit Pistons than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Detroit Pistons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Detroit will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Miami (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 117:119

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Wiggins A.	9. Thompson A.
7. Antetokounmpo G.	20. Collins J.
13. Adebayo B.	0. Duren J.
11. Thompson K.	55. Robinson D.
2. Mitchell D.	2. Cunningham C.
Coaches
. Spoelstra E.	. Bickerstaff J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 3.

In recent outings, Miami has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Detroit shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Recently, Miami has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Miami has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2196:2148 (averaging 109.8:107.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Miami against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 1201:1195 goals (averaging 109.2:108.6 per game).

Outrights of NBA for now

Detroit Pistons: 3.15% Miami Heat: 1.86%

Last Results with these Odds

Miami Heat - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 53.68%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Detroit Pistons - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 46.32%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami Heat
NBA
21.10.26	Miami Heat - Minnesota Timberwolves	106:131 ✺
16.10.26	Orlando Magic - Miami Heat	136:115 ✺
14.10.26	Miami Heat - Brooklyn Nets	144:128 ✺
10.10.26	Miami Heat - Minnesota Timberwolves	124:125 ✺
08.10.26	Miami Heat - New Orleans Pelicans	128:118 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLW
- Detroit Pistons
NBA
20.10.26	Detroit Pistons - Boston Celtics	121:113 ✺
16.10.26	Detroit Pistons - Toronto Raptors	129:125 ✺
14.10.26	Minnesota Timberwolves - Detroit Pistons	106:128 ✺
10.10.26	Washington Wizards - Detroit Pistons	114:108 AET ✺
05.10.26	Detroit Pistons - Phoenix Suns	109:107 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NBA Las Vegas Summer League
17.07.26	Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons	101:87
NBA
08.03.26	Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons	121:110
01.01.26	Detroit Pistons - Miami Heat	112:118
29.11.25	Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons	135:138
NBA Las Vegas Summer League
17.07.25	Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons	88:108
NBA
19.03.25	Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons	113:116
16.12.24	Detroit Pistons - Miami Heat	125:124 OT

Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons