The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chicago Bulls 24.9%
Denver Nuggets 75.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38%
62%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.5%
57.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chicago Bulls's form might have worsened.
Denver Nuggets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Denver Nuggets's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Bulls than the current prediction. (+17.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chicago Bulls, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denver Nuggets than the current prediction. (-17.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Denver Nuggets, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
0%
71.4%
Chicago Bulls - Denver Nuggets Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Denver will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Denver: 47.7% – 95.1%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -5.5, OT - Denver (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +6.5, OT - Chicago (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Chicago (votes: 5 - 50%). Denver (votes: 5 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 114:123
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Okoro I.
3. Strawther J.
14. Buzelis M.
23. Johnson C.
28. Yabusele G.
15. Jokic N.
4. Simons A.
0. Braun C.
23. Ivey J.
27. Murray J.
Substitutes
. Dillingham R.
11. Brown B.
33. Miller L.
10. Hardaway T.
47. Olbrich L.
14. Holmes D.
2. Richards N.
22. Nnaji Z.
8. Sexton C.
24. Pickett J.
44. Williams P.
17. Valanciunas J.
Coaches
. Donovan B.
. Adelman D.
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 3.
Chicago is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Denver has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Chicago has had a series of away games.
Denver is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Chicago: Collins Z.
(Toe Injury)
Dosunmu A.
(Inactive)
Essengue N.
(Shoulder Injury)
Giddey J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Jones T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Phillips J.
(Inactive)
Sexton C.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Denver: Bates T.
(Foot Injury)
Gordon A.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Denver: Johnson C.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 2277:2344. (average 113.9:117.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1125:1154. (average 112.5:115.4).
Outrights of NBA for now
Denver Nuggets: 3.38% Chicago Bulls: 0.24%
Last Results with these Odds
Chicago Bulls - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 38%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.