Match Info

NBA

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday

Location: United Center (Chicago, IL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
World	NBA Global League Pass


	Chicago Bulls		Miami Heat

	1	2
	2.2	1.71	Watch
	3.2	1.36
	2.15	1.7
	2.23	1.73
	2.17	1.75	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.18	1.78
	2.2	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.8)	1.68 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 237.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chicago Bulls
42.2%

Miami Heat
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chicago Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chicago Bulls's performance.

Miami Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miami Heat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Bulls than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chicago Bulls that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miami Heat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.9%	0%	42.1%

Chicago Bulls - Miami Heat Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Miami will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chicago: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Chicago (votes: 4 - 50%). Miami (votes: 4 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -7.5, OT - Miami (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 235.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 241.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1, OT - Chicago (2.22) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Chicago (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Miami (votes: 5 - 45.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 118:121

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Okoro I.	24. Powell N.
14. Buzelis M.	22. Wiggins A.
9. Vucevic N.	13. Adebayo B.
0. White C.	14. Herro T.
30. Jones T.	45. Mitchell D.
Substitutes
5. Carter J.	0. Fontecchio S.
11. Dosunmu A.	25. Jakucionis K.
2. Miller E.	11. Jaquez Jr. J.
47. Olbrich L.	16. Johnson K.
15. Phillips J.	5. Jovic N.
7. Terry D.	9. Larsson P.
44. Williams P.	12. Smith D.
	7. Ware K.
Coaches
. Donovan B.	. Spoelstra E.

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Miami is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Chicago: Collins Z. (Toe Injury) Essengue N. (Shoulder Injury) Giddey J. (Muscle Injury) Smith J. (Concussion) White C. (Calf Injury)

There will not play in Miami: Jaquez Jr. J. (Ankle Injury) Rozier T. (Suspended)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 2144:2241. (average 107.2:112.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 977:1035. (average 108.6:115).

Outrights of NBA for now

Miami Heat: 3.04% Chicago Bulls: 0.24%

Last Results with these Odds

Chicago Bulls - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 33.96%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chicago Bulls
NBA
28.01.26	Indiana Pacers - Chicago Bulls	113:110 ✺
26.01.26	Chicago Bulls - Los Angeles Lakers	118:129 ✺
24.01.26	Chicago Bulls - Boston Celtics	114:111 ✺
22.01.26	Minnesota Timberwolves - Chicago Bulls	115:120 ✺
20.01.26	Chicago Bulls - Los Angeles Clippers	138:110 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LLWWW
- Miami Heat
NBA
28.01.26	Miami Heat - Orlando Magic	124:133 ✺
25.01.26	Phoenix Suns - Miami Heat	102:111 ✺
24.01.26	Utah Jazz - Miami Heat	116:147 ✺
22.01.26	Portland Trail Blazers - Miami Heat	127:110 ✺
20.01.26	Sacramento Kings - Miami Heat	117:130 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NBA
21.11.25	Chicago Bulls - Miami Heat	107:143
16.04.25	Chicago Bulls - Miami Heat	90:109
09.04.25	Chicago Bulls - Miami Heat	119:111
08.03.25	Miami Heat - Chicago Bulls	109:114
04.02.25	Chicago Bulls - Miami Heat	133:124
19.04.24	Miami Heat - Chicago Bulls	112:91
16.12.23	Miami Heat - Chicago Bulls	118:116

Chicago Bulls - Miami Heat: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide