Match Info

NCAA

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Citadel Bulldogs		UNC Greensboro Spartans

	1	2
	2.25	1.67
	2.12	1.65
	2.2	1.71
	2.08	1.68	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.18	1.69
	2.25	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.05)	1.68 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 145.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Citadel Bulldogs
43.4%

UNC Greensboro Spartans
56.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Citadel Bulldogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

UNC Greensboro Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Citadel Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNC Greensboro Spartans than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Citadel Bulldogs - UNC Greensboro Spartans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 72:75

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Citadel won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Citadel will win today's game, with odds of 2.15.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Citadel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 19 matches, and goals 1324:1572. (average 66.2:78.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Citadel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 552:646. (average 69:80.8).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

NC Greensboro: 0.22% Citadel: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Citadel Bulldogs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
29.01.26	Citadel Bulldogs - Virginia Military Keydets	80:56 ✺
23.01.26	East Tennessee State Buccaneers - Citadel Bulldogs	84:55 ✺
21.01.26	Citadel Bulldogs - Furman Paladins	77:75 OT ✺
17.01.26	Virginia Military Keydets - Citadel Bulldogs	68:82 ✺
15.01.26	UNC Greensboro Spartans - Citadel Bulldogs	69:66 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WLWWL
- UNC Greensboro Spartans basketball
NCAA College Basketball
29.01.26	Mercer Bears - UNC Greensboro Spartans	95:77 ✺
23.01.26	UNC Greensboro Spartans - Furman Paladins	66:89 ✺
21.01.26	Virginia Military Keydets - UNC Greensboro Spartans	78:85 ✺
17.01.26	UNC Greensboro Spartans - Mercer Bears	92:102 ✺
15.01.26	UNC Greensboro Spartans - Citadel Bulldogs	69:66 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
15.01.26	UNC Greensboro Spartans - Citadel Bulldogs	69:66 OT
05.02.25	Citadel Bulldogs - UNC Greensboro Spartans	61:76
15.01.25	UNC Greensboro Spartans - Citadel Bulldogs	70:57
14.02.24	Citadel Bulldogs - UNC Greensboro Spartans	61:76
17.01.24	UNC Greensboro Spartans - Citadel Bulldogs	73:67
04.02.23	Citadel Bulldogs - UNC Greensboro Spartans	59:79
19.01.23	UNC Greensboro Spartans - Citadel Bulldogs	70:60

Citadel Bulldogs - UNC Greensboro Spartans