Match Info

NCAA

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	UNC Greensboro Spartans		Mercer Bears

	1	2
	3.1	1.38
	3	1.33
	2.67	1.43	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	2.99	1.37
	3.2	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.89)	1.37 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UNC Greensboro Spartans
31.3%

Mercer Bears
68.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

68.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UNC Greensboro Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Mercer Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UNC Greensboro Spartans than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercer Bears than the current prediction. (-5%)

UNC Greensboro Spartans - Mercer Bears Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:81

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNC Greensboro won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Mercer is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNC Greensboro won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1345:1248. (average 67.3:62.4).

Including home matches between the teams, UNC Greensboro won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 713:675. (average 64.8:61.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UNC Greensboro Spartans basketball
NCAA College Basketball
15.01.26	UNC Greensboro Spartans - Citadel Bulldogs	69:66 OT ✺
10.01.26	East Tennessee State Buccaneers - UNC Greensboro Spartans	86:60 ✺
07.01.26	Wofford Terriers - UNC Greensboro Spartans	97:85 ✺
03.01.26	UNC Greensboro Spartans - Samford Bulldogs	89:82 ✺
01.01.26	UNC Greensboro Spartans - Chattanooga Mocs	77:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWW
- Mercer Bears basketball
NCAA College Basketball
15.01.26	Virginia Military Keydets - Mercer Bears	67:77 ✺
10.01.26	Mercer Bears - Wofford Terriers	109:97 ✺
07.01.26	Mercer Bears - Citadel Bulldogs	101:63 ✺
03.01.26	East Tennessee State Buccaneers - Mercer Bears	77:71 ✺
31.12.25	Furman Paladins - Mercer Bears	74:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
22.02.25	Mercer Bears - UNC Greensboro Spartans	61:78
22.01.25	UNC Greensboro Spartans - Mercer Bears	78:79
24.02.24	Mercer Bears - UNC Greensboro Spartans	86:72
27.01.24	UNC Greensboro Spartans - Mercer Bears	64:70
02.02.23	Mercer Bears - UNC Greensboro Spartans	49:69
21.01.23	UNC Greensboro Spartans - Mercer Bears	59:48
13.02.22	UNC Greensboro Spartans - Mercer Bears	64:73

UNC Greensboro Spartans - Mercer Bears: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide