Match Info

NBL1 West

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nbl+


	Cockburn Cougars		Geraldton Buccaneers

	1	2
			Watch
	3.00	1.34
	2.12	1.64
	2.58	1.45
	2.06	1.66	Watch
	2.55	1.43
	3.35	1.28	Watch
	2.11	1.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.04)	1.49 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 187.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cockburn Cougars
36.9%

Geraldton Buccaneers
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cockburn Cougars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cockburn Cougars's form might have worsened.

Geraldton Buccaneers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Geraldton Buccaneers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cockburn Cougars than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Geraldton Buccaneers than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Cockburn Cougars - Geraldton Buccaneers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:96

#ad

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cockburn won 1.

Cockburn is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Geraldton is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cockburn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cockburn won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 773:800. (average 85.9:88.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Cockburn won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 372:376. (average 93:94).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cockburn Cougars
Australian NBL1 West Women
10.07.26	South West Slammers - Cockburn Cougars	78:95 ✺
03.07.26	Cockburn Cougars - Mandurah Magic	117:109 ✺
27.06.26	Cockburn Cougars - Kalamunda Eastern Suns	121:82 ✺
20.06.26	Willetton Tigers - Cockburn Cougars	84:103 ✺
19.06.26	Cockburn Cougars - Lakeside Lightning	103:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWW
- Geraldton Buccaneers
Australian NBL1 West
05.07.26	Geraldton Buccaneers - Willetton Tigers	118:92 ✺
04.07.26	Geraldton Buccaneers - Rockingham Flames	102:93 ✺
Australian NBL1 West Women
27.06.26	Geraldton Buccaneers - Perth Redbacks	118:86 ✺
21.06.26	Rockingham Flames - Geraldton Buccaneers	92:75 ✺
20.06.26	Kalamunda Eastern Suns - Geraldton Buccaneers	95:103 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 West
25.04.26	Geraldton Buccaneers - Cockburn Cougars	83:87
19.07.25	Geraldton Buccaneers - Cockburn Cougars	107:95
25.05.24	Cockburn Cougars - Geraldton Buccaneers	86:100
16.04.23	Cockburn Cougars - Geraldton Buccaneers	87:124
20.08.22	Geraldton Buccaneers - Cockburn Cougars	101:70
12.06.22	Cockburn Cougars - Geraldton Buccaneers	98:94
30.04.22	Geraldton Buccaneers - Cockburn Cougars	81:70 OT (67:67)

Cockburn Cougars - Geraldton Buccaneers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide