Match Info

NCAA

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Colgate Raiders		Navy Midshipmen

	1	2
	1.86	1.86
	1.86	1.86
	1.9	1.91
	1.81	1.87	Watch
	1.85	1.91
	2	1.73
	1.9	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.8)	1.86 (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 139.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colgate Raiders
49.7%

Navy Midshipmen
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colgate Raiders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Navy Midshipmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colgate Raiders than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navy Midshipmen than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Colgate Raiders - Navy Midshipmen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 69:71

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colgate won 5.

Colgate is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Navy is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Navy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Colgate won 18 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1442:1281. (average 72.1:64.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Colgate won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 896:767. (average 74.7:63.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colgate Raiders basketball
NCAA College Basketball
11.02.26	Holy Cross Crusaders - Colgate Raiders	70:74 ✺
07.02.26	Bucknell Bison - Colgate Raiders	59:78 ✺
04.02.26	Colgate Raiders - Army Black Knights	69:55 ✺
31.01.26	Lehigh Mountain Hawks - Colgate Raiders	77:76 OT ✺
28.01.26	Colgate Raiders - Holy Cross Crusaders	79:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWLW
- Navy Midshipmen basketball
NCAA College Basketball
09.02.26	Bucknell Bison - Navy Midshipmen	60:76 ✺
07.02.26	Navy Midshipmen - American University Eagles	82:73 ✺
04.02.26	Lafayette Leopards - Navy Midshipmen	50:65 ✺
31.01.26	Navy Midshipmen - Loyola MD Greyhounds	87:71 ✺
28.01.26	Boston University Terriers - Navy Midshipmen	50:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
19.02.25	Colgate Raiders - Navy Midshipmen	79:75
15.01.25	Navy Midshipmen - Colgate Raiders	66:73
03.02.24	Colgate Raiders - Navy Midshipmen	88:64
06.01.24	Navy Midshipmen - Colgate Raiders	72:80
25.02.23	Navy Midshipmen - Colgate Raiders	60:64
05.01.23	Colgate Raiders - Navy Midshipmen	87:73
09.03.22	Colgate Raiders - Navy Midshipmen	74:58

Colgate Raiders - Navy Midshipmen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide