Match Info

WNBA

Date: 14 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: Mohegan Sun Arena (Montville, NJ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network


	Connecticut Sun		Portland Fire

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.80	2.05
	1.72	2.08
	1.71	2.26
	1.7	2.1	Watch
	1.68	2.18	Watch
	1.71	2.2
	1.73	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.89)	2.15 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Connecticut Sun
55.7%

Portland Fire
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Connecticut Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Connecticut Sun's performance.

Portland Fire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portland Fire might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Connecticut Sun than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Fire than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	0%	73.3%

Connecticut Sun - Portland Fire Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Connecticut will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Portland will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Portland: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Portland (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Miller D.	6. Carleton B.
10. Nelson-Ododa O.	21. Engstler E.
42. Griner B.	17. Gustafson M.
4. Leger-Walker C.	3. Barker S.
47. Lacan L.	0. Leite C.
Substitutes
33. Angloma N.	20. Buhner F.
15. Beers R.	. Feagin S.
25. Burke K.	15. Geiselsoder L.
8. Edwards A.	7. Oblak T.
5. Kneepkens G.	13. Puoch N.
2. Van Lith H.	44. Samuelson K.
	25. Williams S.
	77. Winterburn H.
Coaches
. Meziane R.	. Sarama A.

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 10).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Connecticut may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Connecticut has had a series of home games.

Recently, Portland has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Connecticut won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 143:154. (average 71.5:77).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Connecticut Sun
WNBA
10.07.26	Connecticut Sun - Golden State Valkyries	64:79 ✺
08.07.26	Connecticut Sun - Minnesota Lynx	80:86 ✺
06.07.26	Minnesota Lynx - Connecticut Sun	89:90 ✺
02.07.26	Connecticut Sun - Dallas Wings	83:86 ✺
26.06.26	Connecticut Sun - Washington Mystics	68:57 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 LLWLW
- Portland Fire
WNBA
11.07.26	Atlanta Dream - Portland Fire	92:102 ✺
09.07.26	Portland Fire - Las Vegas Aces	80:88 ✺
04.07.26	Seattle Storm - Portland Fire	72:77 ✺
28.06.26	Washington Mystics - Portland Fire	124:123 OT ✺
26.06.26	Chicago Sky - Portland Fire	124:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

WNBA
27.05.26	Portland Fire - Connecticut Sun	71:61
18.05.26	Portland Fire - Connecticut Sun	83:82

Connecticut Sun - Portland Fire: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide