Match Info

GERMANY: BBL - Round 27

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Arena Hohenlohe (Ilshofen)


	Crailsheim Merlins		Rasta Vechta

	1	2
	4.5	1.22	Watch
	3.9	1.26
	4	1.25	Watch
	4.49	1.22
	4.49	1.23
	4	1.25
	4.04	1.25	Watch
	4.3	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.22 ↑ (3.15)	1.24 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crailsheim Merlins
22.7%

Rasta Vechta
77.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

70.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crailsheim Merlins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crailsheim Merlins's form might have worsened.

Rasta Vechta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rasta Vechta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crailsheim Merlins than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crailsheim Merlins, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rasta Vechta than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rasta Vechta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Crailsheim Merlins - Rasta Vechta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Baggette E.	21. Aminu J.-S.
9. Bleck F.	34. Aririguzoh R.
10. Darden T.	9. Ferner J.
30. Smith G.	30. Flanigan C.
3. Stuckey M.	12. Kuhse T.
Substitutes
7. Borges A.	8. Diallo N.
1. Cook K.	22. Groves T.
12. Murray Boyles J.	17. Grunloh J.
8. Oduro P.	25. Iwundu W.
6. Wulff L.	31. Reaves S.
21. Zejdl M.	15. Schwieger R.
Coaches
. Laakso J.	. Harrelson T.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro A and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ BBL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Crailsheim won 3.

Crailsheim is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Vechta is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Vechta is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Crailsheim won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 823-868.

Including matches at home between the teams Crailsheim won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 497-510.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crailsheim Merlins
German BBL
30.03.24	Heidelberg - Crailsheim Merlins	90:86 ✺
23.03.24	Crailsheim Merlins - BG Göttingen	80:76 ✺
16.03.24	Mitteldeutscher - Crailsheim Merlins	98:93 ✺
09.03.24	Crailsheim Merlins - Niners Chemnitz	82:97 ✺
01.03.24	s.Oliver Wurzburg - Crailsheim Merlins	86:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLL
- Rasta Vechta
German BBL
30.03.24	Baskets Bonn - Rasta Vechta	80:77 ✺
25.03.24	Lowen Braunschweig - Rasta Vechta	79:92 ✺
18.03.24	Rasta Vechta - Ratiopharm Ulm	86:81 ✺
10.03.24	Bayern München - Rasta Vechta	88:90 OT ✺
02.03.24	Rasta Vechta - Ludwigsburg	72:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German BBL
11.11.23	Rasta Vechta - Crailsheim Merlins	96:58
24.04.21	Crailsheim Merlins - Rasta Vechta	98:81
27.12.20	Rasta Vechta - Crailsheim Merlins	81:98
16.06.20	Crailsheim Merlins - Rasta Vechta	66:95
23.11.19	Crailsheim Merlins - Rasta Vechta	101:88
30.04.19	Rasta Vechta - Crailsheim Merlins	95:92
02.11.18	Crailsheim Merlins - Rasta Vechta	68:70

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