Match Info

BSN - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 3 August 2026, Monday

Location: Coliseo Roger Mendoza (Caguas)


	Criollos de Caguas		Vaqueros de Bayamón

	1	2
	1.65	2.05
	1.53	2.33
	1.67	2.15
	1.67	2.05	Watch
	1.63	2.12
	1.68	2.06
	1.65	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (2.12)	2.14 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 178.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criollos de Caguas
56.6%

Vaqueros de Bayamón
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criollos de Caguas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Criollos de Caguas's performance.

Vaqueros de Bayamón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vaqueros de Bayamón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criollos de Caguas than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Criollos de Caguas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaqueros de Bayamón than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vaqueros de Bayamón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Criollos de Caguas - Vaqueros de Bayamón Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Criollos de Caguas will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Vaqueros will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vaqueros (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 176.5, OT - over (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Brown M.	14. Browne G.
14. Kappos A.	30. Jones D.
23. King L.	13. McCullough C.
24. Lopez C.	44. Mojica J. (C)
13. Trice T.	24. Perez J.
Substitutes
8. Clavell G.	55. Acevedo N.
15. Denton J.	32. Balkman R.
2. Early J. Jr.	20. Cintron J.
1. Huertas H.	22. Ezquerra J.
0. Medina O.	19. Janga R.
4. Nunez R.	2. Mauras K.
12. O'Connell M.	0. Palermo I.
38. Peguero G.	35. Pelacoco
10. Rivera L.	1. Thompson S.

Preview

Vaqueros de Bayamon leads series 3-2. Sixth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Criollos de Caguas won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Criollos de Caguas won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1441:1465. (average 90.1:91.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Criollos de Caguas won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 680:606. (average 97.1:86.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Criollos de Caguas - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 42.91%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criollos de Caguas Basketball
Puerto Rican BSN
01.08.26	Vaqueros de Bayamón - Criollos de Caguas	122:79 ✺
30.07.26	Criollos de Caguas - Vaqueros de Bayamón	111:97 ✺
28.07.26	Vaqueros de Bayamón - Criollos de Caguas	106:83 ✺
26.07.26	Criollos de Caguas - Vaqueros de Bayamón	88:69 ✺
24.07.26	Vaqueros de Bayamón - Criollos de Caguas	78:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLWL
- Vaqueros de Bayamón
Puerto Rican BSN
01.08.26	Vaqueros de Bayamón - Criollos de Caguas	122:79 ✺
30.07.26	Criollos de Caguas - Vaqueros de Bayamón	111:97 ✺
28.07.26	Vaqueros de Bayamón - Criollos de Caguas	106:83 ✺
26.07.26	Criollos de Caguas - Vaqueros de Bayamón	88:69 ✺
24.07.26	Vaqueros de Bayamón - Criollos de Caguas	78:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Puerto Rican BSN
01.08.26	Vaqueros de Bayamón - Criollos de Caguas	122:79
30.07.26	Criollos de Caguas - Vaqueros de Bayamón	111:97
28.07.26	Vaqueros de Bayamón - Criollos de Caguas	106:83
26.07.26	Criollos de Caguas - Vaqueros de Bayamón	88:69
24.07.26	Vaqueros de Bayamón - Criollos de Caguas	78:74
20.06.26	Vaqueros de Bayamón - Criollos de Caguas	107:99
12.05.26	Vaqueros de Bayamón - Criollos de Caguas	107:80

Criollos de Caguas - Vaqueros de Bayamón: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide