Match Info

AdmiralBet ABA League - Winners stage - Round 5

Date: 30 March 2026, Monday

Location: Beogradska arena (Belgrade)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport 1


	Crvena Zvezda		Dubai

	1	2
	1.58	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.31
	1.55	2.29	Watch
	1.53	2.3
	1.62	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.51)	2.3 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 179.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crvena Zvezda
59.2%

Dubai
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crvena Zvezda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Dubai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dubai than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Crvena Zvezda - Dubai Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Crvena Zvezda will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:89

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Carter T.	10. Anderson J.
7. Davidovac D.	17. Kabengele M.
33. Nwora J.	13. Musa D.
14. Rivero J.	30. Petrusev F.
99. Yago	25. Wright M.
Substitutes
21. Bolomboy J.	5. Abass A.
6. Butler J.	4. Avramovic A.
13. Dobric O.	3. Bacon D.
15. Izundu E.	8. Bertans Dav.
12. Kalinic N.	51. Caboclo B.
2. Miljenovic S.	11. Kondic K.
	7. Prepelic K.
Coaches
. Obradovic S.	. Golemac J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crvena Zvezda won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Dubai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

Crvena Zvezda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Crvena Zvezda won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 530:581. (average 88.3:96.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Crvena Zvezda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 187:199. (average 93.5:99.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Crvena Zvezda
Euroleague
27.03.26	Barcelona - Crvena Zvezda	92:88 OT ✺
25.03.26	Baskonia - Crvena Zvezda	100:108 OT ✺
Adriatic League
22.03.26	Crvena Zvezda - Partizan Belgrade	100:96 ✺
Euroleague
20.03.26	Panathinaikos - Crvena Zvezda	82:74 ✺
Adriatic League
15.03.26	Dubai - Crvena Zvezda	114:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLL
- BC Dubai
Euroleague
26.03.26	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Dubai	104:100 OT ✺
24.03.26	Dubai - Panathinaikos	104:107 ✺
Adriatic League
21.03.26	KK Budućnost - Dubai	78:95 ✺
Euroleague
19.03.26	Bayern München - Dubai	74:87 ✺
17.03.26	Partizan Belgrade - Dubai	88:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Adriatic League
15.03.26	Dubai - Crvena Zvezda	114:91
Euroleague
30.01.26	Crvena Zvezda - Dubai	95:92
11.11.25	Dubai - Crvena Zvezda	102:86
VTB Super Cup
25.09.25	Dubai - Crvena Zvezda	80:82
Adriatic League
12.01.25	Crvena Zvezda - Dubai	92:107
22.09.24	Dubai - Crvena Zvezda	86:84

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