Match Info

Euroleague - Play-in - Semi-finals

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Palau Blaugrana (Barcelona)

Referee: Vilius G. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Israel	Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Barcelona		Crvena Zvezda

	1	2
	1.44	2.55	Watch
	1.52	2.55
	1.54	2.58
	1.58	2.51	Watch
	1.5	2.55
	1.53	2.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.56)	2.56 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona
62.8%

Crvena Zvezda
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Crvena Zvezda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crvena Zvezda than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.1%	0%	17.9%

Barcelona - Crvena Zvezda Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5, OT - Barcelona (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Barcelona will win (23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Barcelona will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Clyburn W.	21. Bolomboy J.
0. Punter K.	12. Kalinic N.
13. Satoransky T.	0. Miller-McIntyre C.
23. Shengelia T.	95. Moneke C.
6. Vesely J.	33. Nwora J.
Substitutes
8. Brizuela D.	6. Butler J.
3. Cale M.	11. Carter T.
19. Fall Y.	13. Dobric O.
14. Hernangomez W.	15. Izundu E.
2. Marcos J.	2. Miljenovic S.
5. Norris M.	37. Ojeleye S.
44. Parra J.	14. Rivero J.
Coaches
. Pascual X.	. Obradovic S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Barcelona could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1627:1492. (average 81.4:74.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 828:728. (average 82.8:72.8).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Barcelona: 3.54% Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet: 2.54%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
6	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet	4	2	2	311:294
8	Barcelona	4	2	2	352:346

Last Results with these Odds

Barcelona - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 60.71%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barcelona Basketball
Spanish ACB League
19.04.26	Força Lleida CE - Barcelona	90:80 ✺
Euroleague
17.04.26	Barcelona - Bayern München	95:69 ✺
Spanish ACB League
12.04.26	Barcelona - Bilbao Basket	90:61 ✺
Euroleague
10.04.26	AS Monaco Basket - Barcelona	93:86 ✺
07.04.26	Barcelona - Panathinaikos	79:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWWLL
- KK Crvena Zvezda
Adriatic League
19.04.26	Partizan Belgrade - Crvena Zvezda	81:74 ✺
Euroleague
16.04.26	Real Madrid - Crvena Zvezda	103:82 ✺
Adriatic League
13.04.26	Crvena Zvezda - U BT Cluj-Napoca	86:76 ✺
Euroleague
10.04.26	ASVEL Basket - Crvena Zvezda	93:106 ✺
07.04.26	Crvena Zvezda - Paris	94:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
27.03.26	Barcelona - Crvena Zvezda	92:88 OT
05.12.25	Crvena Zvezda - Barcelona	79:89
27.12.24	Barcelona - Crvena Zvezda	74:78
18.10.24	Crvena Zvezda - Barcelona	82:81
02.02.24	Crvena Zvezda - Barcelona	76:85
10.11.23	Barcelona - Crvena Zvezda	86:81
17.03.23	Barcelona - Crvena Zvezda	85:79

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