Match Info

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday


	Crvena Zvezda		Paris

	1	2
	1.30	3.70
	1.33	3.51	Watch
	1.28	3.97	Watch
	1.28	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.31)	3.68 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crvena Zvezda
73.9%

Paris
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.9%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crvena Zvezda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Paris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Crvena Zvezda - Paris Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:80

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Preview

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

In this matchup, Crvena Zvezda is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Crvena Zvezda has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 421:436 (averaging 84.2:87.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Crvena Zvezda against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 179:150 goals (averaging 89.5:75 per game).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet: 2.78% Paris: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
6	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet	4	2	2	311:294
16	Paris	4	1	3	329:359

Last Results with these Odds

Paris - the odds 3.36 are the expected chance of winning is 28.05%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Crvena Zvezda
Euroleague
08.10.26	Dubai - Crvena Zvezda	58:77 ✺
Adriatic League
04.10.26	FMP Beograd - Crvena Zvezda	90:89 ✺
Euroleague
01.10.26	Crvena Zvezda - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	77:72 ✺
29.09.26	Crvena Zvezda - Hapoel Tel Aviv	80:81 ✺
24.09.26	Crvena Zvezda - Žalgiris Kaunas	77:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWLL
- Paris Basketball
Euroleague
07.10.26	Paris - ASVEL Basket	96:98 ✺
French LNB
04.10.26	Le Mans - Paris	101:103 ✺
Euroleague
01.10.26	Paris - Žalgiris Kaunas	82:78 ✺
29.09.26	Paris - Partizan Belgrade	79:92 ✺
French LNB
27.09.26	Nancy - Paris	73:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
07.04.26	Crvena Zvezda - Paris	94:81
23.12.25	Paris - Crvena Zvezda	102:92
Club Friendly Basketball
12.09.25	Paris - Crvena Zvezda	107:70
Euroleague
10.01.25	Crvena Zvezda - Paris	85:69
04.10.24	Paris - Crvena Zvezda	77:80

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